Mobile Sources Forum Archive

MSF Workplan Elements (06/99)

This Workplan is designed to accomplish the goals set out by the Grand Canyon Visibility Transport Commission. That is, to determine what policy choices can be implemented by States and regions that can result in reduced regional haze in the Grand Canyon Region. The Workplan envisions several interconnecting projects leading to a series of policy choices - choices developed by the GCVTC as reflected in their 1997 Report.

I. Task Title:BASELINE MOBILE SOURE INVENTORY DEVELOPMENT - DOCUMENTATION OF MOBILE SOURCE EMISSIONS - 1999 Base Year

Deliverable Description: Report documenting "What are the mobile source emissions as of base year 1999?"

• By: State; County, Tribe
• By Vehicle Type
• By Service Type: On-road; Off-road mobile sources
• By Specialized Type: Hand Held Equipment, lawn and garden etc. - "non-mobile" mobile sources

Some considerations:

• Mobile 5 vs. Mobile 6; EMFAC 7G vs. EMFAC 99
• California data vs. other state data
• Planning Components - COG input and conformity
• PART 5 vs. EMFAC
• Elemental Carbon
• HD Truck Emissions - A process is needed to quantify data from their consultant
• EPA emission files from each state or non-attainment region. Ability to use that data as basis for initial analysis

Duration of Project: 6 months

Start date: August, 1999

Staffing Resources: $250,000

Collaboration with External Groups:Federal, State and local agencies, Tribal and State environmental agencies, Metropolitan Planning Organizations (MPOs), etc.

II.Task Title:EMISSIONS FORECASTING ELEMENT

Deliverable Description: Documentation and report defining the process used to "grow" the emissions inventory and the results of the "grown" inventory. Project will attempt to calibrate future year inventory with current practices to improve the reliability of growth projections for population, commerce, industry. The inventory will be expressed out to at least the year 2040 in 5-year increments. In view of EPA's proposed schedule for area planning, a 2018 inventory may be required by some regions. The consultant is to determine how such a requirement is to be accomplished. (Note: The contractor will investigate the feasibility and uncertainty associated with projecting the inventory to the year 2060, again in 5 year increments.)

The inventory will be expressed

• By State, County, tribe
• By Vehicle Type
• By non-road engine type
• By Service Type
• By Specialized Type

Key Considerations

• Population Growth Projections by region and state
• Growth projections for emission sources
• Effect of Land Use and Planning Initiatives
• Effect of future regulations/programs affecting fuels and vehicles
• Tribal Land Use Programs and Initiatives

Duration:6 months

Start Date:1/2000-6/2000

Staffing Resources: $200,000

Collaboration with Other Groups:Extensive, State and Local Planning Agencies, Tribal Agencies, MPOs, Public Groups, etc.

III.Task Title:DEVELOPING AN EMISSIONS TARGET AND DEVELOPMENT OF OPTIONS FOR REDUCING MOBILE SOURCE EMISSION EMISSIONS

Deliverable Description:Report to answer the question (in conjunction with other groups): "What will the emissions need to be in the future to ensure regional haze and WRAP goals are achieved?" Report will identify strategies might there be to reduce mobile source emissions in the future. Strategies will be evaluated using specific cost-effectiveness criteria. Report will show receptor impact associated with specific control measures or groups of measures. Report will provide a recommended strategy including, implementation options which should be considered depending on current and future conditions (e.g. size/location of urban areas, proximity to Class-I areas, use of 'Best Management Practices' for planning options etc.). Quantification, where possible of resulting improvements in visibility in the Class-I areas.

Outputs from Model - Development of future year Emissions Budget(s)

Develop a Mobile Source Emissions Budget

• By State,
• By County
• By Vehicle Type
• By Service Type
• By Specialized Type

Duration of Project:12 months

Start of Project:1/2000-12/2000

Staffing Resources:to $400,000

Collaboration with other Groups:Yes. State and local agencies, tribal agencies, MPOs.

IV.Task Title:Public Input, Response, and Recommendations to WRAP

Deliverable Description:MSF will conduct public meetings to accept public comment on recommendations, strategies, options, and analysis used in report. Contractor will be present to provide technical and scientific support to MSF during public hearings.

Contractor will incorporate comments and respond to recommendations as appropriate.

Duration:6 months

Project Initiation:1/2001

Staffing Resources:$50,000

Collaboration with Other groups:#9;Heavy. Collaboration with all MSF groups, the IOC, TOC, Emissions Forum, tribes, state and local government is essential.