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#ÓÔ2ÔÔ3  ÔÓ  ÓÓ5+° °` ¸ hÀpÈ xÐ 5ÓÓ ¨ý Ó(8M ÿÿ&_2Ó ¨ý ÓÓ h ÓÓ pÈ xÐ ÓÔ2ÔÔ3  ÔÓ  ÓÓ5+° °` ¸ hÀpÈ xÐ 5ÓÓ ¨ý Ó(5M ÿÿ&_1Ó ¨ý ÓÓ À ÓÓppÈ xÐ ÓÔ2ÔÔ3  ÔÓ  ÓÓ5+° °` ¸ hÀpÈ xÐ 5ÓÓ ¨ý Ó&2M ÿÿ$_Ó ¨ý ÓÓ  ÓÓÈÈ xÐ ÓÔ2ÔÔ3  ÔÓ  ÓÓ5+° °` ¸ hÀpÈ xÐ 5ÓÓ ¨ý Ó<<<<<<<<(ÿÿ35;AGMSY_11.1.1.1.1.1.1.1.1Large Dashed dPage ù of &ù¾6Times New Roman Regular(ÀÊO Z‹(Times New Roman (ÖÃ9 Z‹6Times New Roman RegularTABLE AÝ ƒ!ÝÝ  ÝÔ_ÔÔ€Äô°0òòôÔÔ€ÄXׯXòÄô°0ÔÑ  ÑÑ  ÑÔ  ÔÑX°ÑÑ€ÀÑÑ8€Á]-Á»»ddÈ8ÑÒ„°ÒÒ„°ÒÑÀ°Ñà@ìàòòò òÔ‡ÄîŽÛîXÄXׯÔòòFinalóó€€Meeting€MinutesÔ#†ÄXׯXîÄîŽÛ$#Ôó óóóˆÐ À Ðà@êêìàWRAP€EMISSIONS€FORUM€/€à@@  ìàEMISSION€INVENTORY€WORK€GROUPˆÐ ì, Ðà@) ) ìàJanuary€29„30òòthóó,€2002Ô‡ÅXׯXXÄXׯÔ€€@€Ô#†ÄXׯXXÅXׯ9#ÔPhoenix,€ArizonaˆÐ Ü ÐÌÔ‡ÅXׯXXÄXׯÔThe€Emissions€Forum€and€Emission€Inventory€Work€Group€convenedÔ#†ÄXׯXXÅXׯ¦#Ô€at€the€Hyatt€Regency€Hotel€inÐ ¼ü ÐPhoenix,€Arizona€at€8:00€AM€on€January€29òòthóó€and€met€through€2:30€PM€on€January€30,€2002.€€AttendeesÐ ¬ì Ðincluded:Ð œ Ü ÐÌÓ „éQ°œXÓàQúúéàÔ‡Xž XXÄXׯÔòòNameóóÔ#†ÄXׯX XXž&#ÔÔ‡X¬@ XXÄXׯÔˆàQÇÇ.QàÔ#†ÄXׯX XX¬@r#ÔÔ‡Xž XXÄXׯÔòòAffiliationóóÔ#†ÄXׯX XXžÇ#ÔÔ‡X¬@ XXÄXׯԈР| ¼ ÐÓ°„éhÓÔ#†ÄXׯX XX¬@#ÔÔ‡¢XN\ XXÄXׯÔLee€Gribovicz,€EF€Co„Chairàìƒ.  !àWyoming€DEQ,€Air€Quality€DivisionÐ l ¬  ÐDennis€Schwehr,€EF€Co„Chairàìƒ."àWEST€AssociatesÐ \ œ  ÐBrock€LeBaron,€EF€Memberàìƒ.: : àUtah€DEQ,€Air€Quality€DivisionÐ LŒ  ÐRoy€Doyle,€EIWG€Memberàìƒ.¼ ¼ àColorado€Health€Dept./Air€Quality€DivisionÐ <|  ÐWayne€Leipold,€EF€Memberàìƒ.: : àPhelps€Dodge€Copper€CompanyÐ ,l  ÐMike€Sundblom,€EIWG€Memberàìƒ.††!àArizona€DEQ,€Air€Quality€DivisionÐ \  ÐCarrie€MacDougall,€EF€Memberàìƒ.„„#àClark€County€(Nevada)€Division€of€Air€QualityÐ  L ÐPat€Cummins,€WRAP€Air€Quality€Mngr.àìƒ.  *àWestern€Governor's€AssociationÐ ü< ÐSarah€Kelly.àìƒ.¾¾àInstitute€of€Tribal€Environmental€ProfessionalsÐ ì, ÐOndrea€Barber,€TDDWG€Co„Chairàìƒ.nn$àInter„Tribal€Council€of€ArizonaÐ Ü ÐMike€George,€TOC€Co„Chairàìƒ.n n àArizona€DEQ,€Air€Quality€DivisionÐ Ì  ÐSamir€Badriàìƒ.ššàArizona€DEQ,€Air€Quality€DivisionÐ ¼ü ÐRandy€Sedlacekàìƒ.: : àArizona€DEQ,€Air€Quality€Division€Ð ¬ì ÐGreg€Stella,€EFIGàìƒ.´ ´ àUS€EPA,€North€Carolina€HeadquartersÐ œÜ ÐJim€Wilson.àìƒ.‚‚àPechan€Consulting€FirmÐ ŒÌ ÐPaula€Fieldsàìƒ.ÔÔàERG,€Inc.€Consulting€FirmÔ#†ÄXׯX X¢XN\#ÔÐ |¼ ÐÌà@#ìàòòMeeting€SummaryóóˆÐ \œ ÐÌThe€Emission€Forum€currently€has€contracts€out€designed€to:Ð <| ÐÌÓ°r°Ó1)à0 F àcomplete€Quality€Assurance€of€the€1996€Base€Year€WRAP€Region€Emission€Inventory€€(ð ð€$30K)Ð \FT$FT$ Ð2)à0 F àmake€projections€for€a€2018€WRAP€Region€Emission€Inventory,€for€the€Base€Case,€Control€Case,Ð  !L ÐBART€and€Pollution€Prevention€Scenarios€€(ð ð€$200K)Ðü!< FT$FT$ Ð3)à0 F àcomplete€a€Year€2000€Stationary€Source€SOòò2óó€Emission€Inventory€for€determining€progress€fromÐ ì",! Ðthe€1990€Grand€Canyon€projections€€(ð ð€$10K)ÐÜ# "FT$FT$ ÐÌThe€Emission€Forum€is€researching€issues€or€drafting€RFP's€to€complete€other€majoròòóó€tasks€considered€inÐ ¼%ü!$ Ðthe€2002€Emission€Forum€budget,€including:Ð ¬&ì"% ÐÌ1)à0 F àmake€improvements€to€the€WRAP€Region€Emission€Inventory€for€Pollutant€Speciation€&Ð Œ(Ì$' ÐTemporal/Spatial€Allocation€€(ð ð€$75K)Ð|)¼%(FT$FT$ Ð2)à0 F àmake€improvements€to€the€WRAP€Region€Emission€Inventory€for€organics€and€ammonia€emissionÐ l*¬&) Ðcalculations€€(ð ð€$10K)Ð\+œ'*FT$FT$ Ð3)à0 F àproduce€a€1996€Wind€Erosion€Dust€Inventory€for€the€WRAP€Region€€(ð ð€$125K)ÐL,Œ(+FT$FT$ Ð4)à F àcreate€a€WRAP€Region€Emission€Inventory€Database€System€€(ð ð€$120K)Ð <-|), Ð5)à0 F àproduceòòóó€Emission€Inventory€Preparation€Guidance€€(ð ð€$55K)Ð,.l*-FT$FT$ ЇAt€this€meeting€the€contractor's€representative€(Jim€Wilson€„€Pechan)€gave€status€reports€on€projectsÐ À Ðincluding€a)€the€1996€WRAP€EI€Quality€Assurance€effort,€b)€the€Year€2000€Stationary€Source€SOòò2óóÐ °ð ÐEmission€Inventory€and€c)€the€projections€for€the€Base€Case,€Control€Case,€BART€and€PollutionÐ  à ÐPrevention€Scenarios€of€the€2018€WRAP€Region€Emission€Inventory.Ð Ð ÐÌRegarding€the€'96€EI€QA€project,€Pechan€has€identified€potential€discrepancies€in€the€1996€WRAPÐ p° ÐEmission€Inventory€and€has€contacted€the€States€to€obtain€confirmation€of€corrections.€€Completion€ofÐ `   Ðthe€project€is€targeted€for€March€'02.Ð P  ÐÌRegarding€the€Y2K€SOòò2óó€Emission€Inventory,€Pechan's€preliminary€work€shows€a€21%€decrease€in€YearÐ 0 p  Ð2000€stationary€source€emissions€from€the€1990€Grand€Canyon€Visibility€Transport€Commission€total€inÐ  `  Ðthe€9€transport€region€states€of€828,233€tons.€€This€decrease€will€be€even€greater€when€the€final€reportÐ P  Ðincorporates€additional€emission€reductions€experienced€by€the€copper€Ô_Ôindustry,Ô_Ô€that€are€not€reflected€inÐ @  Ðthis€preliminary€value.Ð ð0  ÐÌRegarding€the€2018€Projections,€Pechan€is€working€on€a€revised€2018€Base€Case€to€be€completed€by€theÐ Ð Ðfirst€week€in€February€'02.€€The€Control€Case€and€"Command€&€Control"€BART€Cases€are€target€forÐ À Ðcompletion€at€the€end€of€February,€with€the€Pollution€Prevention€Scenario€emission€inventory€to€beÐ °ð Ðcomplete€by€mid„March€'02.Ð  à ÐÌThe€Forum€discussed€Alaska's€new€membership€in€the€WRAP,€and€determined€that€there€are€no€tasks€inÐ €À Ðthe€current€EF€Workplan€that€require€modification.€€Alaska's€needs€will€be€considered€in€the€next€workÐ p° Ðplanning€&€grant€cycle.Ð `  ÐÌThe€Forum€tracked€efforts€at€developing€international€emission€inventories€through€the€TrilateralÐ @€ Ð(Canada,€U.S.€&€Mexico)€Commission€for€Environmental€Cooperation€(CEC),€and€through€a€WGAÐ 0p Ðcontract€for€developing€a€border€emission€inventory€for€Mexico.€€Also,€the€Forum€is€looking€atÐ  ` Ðopportunities€for€coordination€between€other€Regional€Planning€Organizations€(RPO's)€in€the€UnitedÐ P ÐStates.€€The€TOC€will€have€to€consider€how€the€Emission€Forum€should€best€participate€in€these€nationalÐ @ Ðand€international€efforts.Ð ð0 ÐÌThe€Forum€discussed€how€best€to€use€limited€WRAP€funds€to€improve€emission€inventories,€focusing€onÐ Ð  ÐTemporal/Spatial€Allocation€and€Pollutant€Speciation€concerns,€as€well€as€on€the€accuracy€of€ammonia/Ð À!  Ðorganics€emission€data.€€An€RFP€will€be€prepared€to€look€at€the€allocation/speciation€questions.€€TheÐ °"ð! ÐRegional€Modeling€Center€is€conducting€sensitivity€model€testing€for€ammonia,€and€the€Emission€ForumÐ  #à" Ðwill€review€those€results€prior€to€spending€limited€funds€available€for€emission€improvement.Ð $Ð # ÐÌThe€Forum€is€drafting€two€new€RFP's:€1)€for€producing€a€1996€WRAP€Region€Emission€Inventory€forÐ p&°"% Ðwind€erosion€generated€fugitive€dust,€and€2)€for€developing€a€WRAP€Regional€Emission€InventoryÐ `' #& ÐDatabase€System.€€Portions€of€this€meeting€were€spent€refining€the€elements€to€be€included€in€theseÐ P($' Ðprojects€and€providing€the€Project€Managers€with€input€on€the€Forum's€desires€for€the€outcome€of€theÐ @)€%( Ðcontracts.Ð 0*p&) ÐÌA€demonstration€of€the€revised€Integrated€Assessment€System€(IAS)€projections€model€was€made€by€theÐ ,P(+ ÐArizona€DEQ,€and€the€uses€for€this€revised€model€were€discussed.€€This€revised€IAS€will€be€available€onÐ -@), Ðthe€Internet€for€public€use€shortly.Ð ð-0*- Їà@kk#ìàòòMeeting€DetailsóóˆÐ À ÐÌà@‹‹"ìàðHð€Announcements€ðHðˆÐ  à ÐÌSeveral€Meetings€were€announced:Ð €À ÐÓ „eÕ°rÓÌWESTAR€&€Modeling€Forum€Meeting€„€RiversideàÕƒ.||2àFebruary€12„15,€2002Ð `   Ðà0 e àWESTAR€meeting€will€focus€on€Regional€Haze€Modeling€the€first€two€days,€followed€by€specificÐ P  Ðdiscussions€in€the€Modeling€Forum€meeting€the€final€two€days€as€to€what€modeling€will€beÐ @ € Ðaccomplished€by€the€WRAP,€and€with€what€data€Ð0 p eT$eT$ ÐÌInternational€EI€Conference€„€AtlantaàÕƒ.((,àApril€15„18,€2002Ð P  ÐÌÔ& Ð ÔWRAP€"All€Comers"€MeetingàÕƒ.  àweek€of€May€20òòthóó,€2002Ð ð0  Ðà0 e àpresentation€of€the€ðð309€modeling€results,€inviting€all€WRAP€technical€and€policy€forums€and€allÐ à  ÐWRAP€technical€contractorsÔ'Ðð)%ÔÐÐeT$eT$ ÐÌWRAP€Semi„Annual€Board€Meeting€„€DenveràÕƒ.øø.àJune€18„19,€2002Ð °ð Ðà0 e àreview€WRAP€states€ðð309€commitment,€based€on€the€final€WRAP€technical€productsРàeT$eT$ ÐÌÔ& Ð Ôà@v v ìàðHð€1996€Baseline€WRAP€Emission€Inventory€ðHðˆÐ €À ÐÌThe€Emission€Forum€had€an€approximately€$80K€contract€with€Ô'ЀO'ÔPES€to€compile€the€1996€WRAP€regionÐ `  Ðbase€year€emission€inventory,€utilizing€the€EPA's€1996€NET€as€the€initial€basis,€while€augmenting€andÐ P Ðupdating€this€data€with€information€solicited€directly€from€the€states.€€This€1996€EI€was€compiled€for€22Ð @€ Ðstates;€13€from€WRAP€Region€(AZ,€CA,€CO,€ID,€MT,€ND,€NM,€NV,€OR,€SD,€UT,€WA€&€WY)€and€9Ð 0p ÐCENRAP€states€that€are€part€of€the€WRAP€modeling€domain€(NB,€KA,€OK,€TX,€MN,€IA,€MO,€AR€&Ð  ` ÐLA).€€The€final€October€'01€revision€to€the€report€was€completed€after€comments€at€the€last€EF€Meeting,Ð P Ðand€is€available€at€the€WRAP€website€(http://www.wrapair.org),€on€the€ò òEmission€Forumó ó€page€of€theÐ @ Ðò ò"Committees€and€Forums"ó ó€section€of€the€site.€€Also€available€are€the€complete€database€files,€as€wellÐ ð0 Ðas€EXCEL€spreadsheet€summaries€of€the€data;€broken€down€into€total€emissions€by€state,€and€intoÐ à  Ðemissions€for€each€county€within€the€state.€€Ð Ð  ÐÌÔ& À Ôà@ìàðHð€'96€EI€Issues:€Quality€Assurance€ðHðˆÐ °"ð! ÐÌThe€WRAP€issued€an€approximately€$30K€contract€to€Pechan€in€November€2001,€to€undertake€a€projectÐ $Ð # Ðto€Quality€Assure€the€1996€point€source€inventory.€€This€Ô'À°"9,Ôdate€Jim€Wilson€provided€the€forum€with€anÐ €%À!$ Ðupdate€on€the€status€of€this€project.€€Mr.€Wilson€noted€that€he€started€with€the€WRAP€version€of€theÐ p&°"% Ð1996€inventory€available€on€the€web€site,€and€conducted€a€review€that€was€divided€between€utility€andÐ `' #& Ðnon„utility€point€sources.€€The€review€was€conducted€for€the€WRAP€nine€transport€region€states€only.Ð P($' ÐÌRegarding€utilities,€Pechan€first€assigned€ORIS€plant€codes€(unique€numeric€identifiers€for€the€nation'sÐ 0*p&) Ðutilities)€to€the€sources,€and€then€reviewed€the€plants€for€errors€in€location€coordinates,€stack€parameters,Ð  +`'* Ðplant€and€state€emissions€totals.€€As€shown€in€the€table€below,€they€compared€control€efficiency€andÐ ,P(+ Ðother€information€to€EIA€767€data,€EPA€"Acid€Rain"€data€and€the€Market€Trading€Forum€inventory.Ð -@), ÐÐ ð-0*- ÐRegarding€non„utilities,€Pecan€compared€copper€smelter€SOòò2óó€emissions€against€the€EI€"true„up"€that€theÐ À Ðcompany€conducted€a€couple€of€years€ago€from€the€WRAP.€€For€other€non„utility€sources,€the€companyÐ °ð Ðconducted€the€same€"true„up"€€SOòò2óó€comparison,€and€in€addition€looked€at€plant€location€coordinates,Ð  à ÐSCC€codes,€stack€parameters€and€PMòò2.5óó€reporting€errors.Ð Ð ÐÌÔ& Ä ÔÔ*’ƒÃVÆddd Xdd Xdd X„T$„T$’ÔÔ,4dd"ÔÔ,œdd ÔÔ+  ÔÐ 3€ ˜p°p° ƒ¨ƒ„„3ÐSourcesÐ A€ ˜,!Ô" ˜ „„AÐcompare€the€WRAP€'96€inventory€against.........................Ð 3)'Ô d¨  ˜ 3ÐUtilitiesÐ  Ð  Є€EPA€Title€IVÐ Ð   Є€MTF€InventoryÐ  À   ÐSmeltersÐ  D „  ……Є€PECHAN€96€True€up€Inventory€€(nine€states)Ð D „  ÐÌ&€range€checks,€major€data€errorsÐ &$d ²² &ÐOthersÐ  ö6  ……ÐÐ’Ò    ÐÔ'ÄpÐ2ÔÌWith€potential€errors€identified,€Pechan€E„Mailed€spreadsheets€to€each€of€the€WRAP€states€in€the€lastÐ 4t  Ðweek€of€January€'02,€describing€the€problems€they€found.€€The€states€were€asked€to€respond€withÐ $d Ðcorrections€by€the€first€part€of€February,€and€Pechan€hoped€to€complete€their€analysis€by€February€18òòthóó.Ð T ÐÌState€Emission€Inventory€representatives€at€this€meeting,€raised€some€concerns€that€the€requests€to€theÐ ô4 Ðstates€were€sometimes€not€well€thought€out.€€Roy€Doyle€pointed€out€that€Colorado's€list€includedÐ ä$ Ðthousands€of€sources,€where€Pechan€questioned€stack€parameters€that€were€presented€in€units€of€acfm,Ð Ô Ðrather€than€in€units€of€acfs.€€Lee€Gribovicz€noted€that€Pechan€had€asked€Wyoming€for€stack€exit€velocity,Ð Ä Ðwhen€both€stack€diameter€and€exhaust€flow€rate€were€already€available.€€In€both€cases,€the€states€pointedÐ ´ô Ðout€that€Pechan€should€òòò ò"just€do€the€math"ó óóó.Ð ¤ä ÐÌOther€questions€raised€by€meeting€participants€revolved€around€how€the€QA€results€are€to€be€utilized.€Ð „Ä ÐBrock€LeBaron€made€the€point€that€if€we€are€going€to€revise€the€1996€inventory,€that€its€probablyÐ t´ Ðalready€too€late€to€use€that€data€in€the€ðð309€modeling.€€He€noted€that€the€2018€projections€have€alreadyÐ d¤ Ðbeen€made€off€the€"old"€'96€inventory,€and€the€modelers€have€already€used€that€data.€€Discussions€ragedÐ T” Ðaround€the€value€of€this€QA€effort;€but€it€was€the€generally€concluded€that€it€is€good€to€assess€the€qualityÐ D„ Ðof€the€data€that€was€used€for€the€ðð309€modeling€project.Ð 4 t  ÐÌThe€question€was€raised€as€to€whether€Pechan€would€actually€revise€the€1996€emission€inventory,€or€theÐ "T" Ðproduct€would€simply€be€a€Quality€Assurance€report.€€It€was€concluded€that€no€full€inventory€revisionÐ #D# Ðwas€going€to€be€produced,€but€that€Pechan€needed€to€identify€the€types€of€the€errors€and€the€magnitudeÐ ô#4 $ Ðof€emission€discrepancies€due€to€those€errors€in€summary€fashion.Ð ä$$!% ÐÌà@K K ìàðHð€Emission€Inventory€Guidance:€Incorporate€into€'96€QA€Effort?€ðHðˆÐ Ä&#' ÐÌPrevious€discussions€had€raised€the€issue€of€consistency€between€political€jurisdictions€in€the€preparationÐ ¤(ä$) Ðof€the€emission€inventories.€€It€had€been€agreed€that€it€was€desirable€for€the€WRAP€to€produce€someÐ ”)Ô%* Ðsource€of€guidance€to€encourage€state/local/tribal€jurisdictions€to€produce€a€relatively€consistentÐ „*Ä&+ Ðemission€inventory.€€Thus€the€Forum€budgeted€$125K€for€preparation€of€Emission€Inventory€GuidanceÐ t+´', Ðand€transmittal€of€that€information€to€the€states€and€tribes€via€workshops.€€The€Emission€ForumÐ d,¤(- Ðâ âacknowledged€the€prerogative€of€the€agencies€to€calculate€emissions€using€their€best€judgement€as€to€theÐ T-”). Ðmost€appropriate€methodology,€but€that€there€should€be€some€mechanism€to€document€alternate€EIÐ À Ðmethods,€and€a€contingency€to€deal€with€any€discrepancies.Ð °ð Ðâ âÌThe€thought€evolved€that€guidance€should€focus€on€those€areas€where€some€sensitivity€analysisÐ Ð Ðhighlighted€the€problem€areas€(high€variability),€and€it€was€felt€that€the€1996€Base€Year€QualityÐ €À ÐAssurance€effort€could€be€the€vehicle€necessary€to€identify€the€main€sources€of€inventory€inconsistency.Ð p° ÐÌNo€directive€had€been€given€to€Pechan€to€complete€a€formal€analysis€of€this€problem,€however,€and€thisÐ P  Ðdate€it€was€suggested€that€with€all€the€current€pressure€to€complete€the€ðð309€technical€modelingÐ @ € Ðdemonstration,€that€this€issue€is€not€"ripe".€€It€was€felt€that€even€for€the€ðð308€base€year€EI's€(probablyÐ 0 p  Ð2002),€we€may€be€too€late€to€provide€EI€guidance,€but€that€we€should€be€looking€at€long€termÐ  `  Ðdevelopment€of€an€effective€WRAP€Emission€Inventory€compilation€system/€database.Ð P  ÐÌIt€was€also€noted€that€the€Tribal€Data€Development€Workgroup€has€been€attempting€to€produce€someÐ ð0  Ðguidance€for€tribes€in€producing€Emission€Inventories,€and€this€date€Sarah€Kelly€explained€that€theyÐ à  Ðwould€be€issuing€an€RFP€shortly€that€requests€development€of€a€tool€that€the€tribes€can€use€to€prepareÐ Ð Ðtheir€inventories.€€It€has€been€repeatedly€pointed€out€that€any€such€tribal€tool€must€be€compatible€withÐ À Ðany€WRAP€Emission€Inventory€system,€and€that€coordination€must€be€maintained€between€the€EmissionÐ °ð ÐForum€and€tribes€to€assure€this€compatibility.Ð  à ÐÌIt€was€also€noted€that€the€WRAP€will€be€hiring€staff€to€fill€the€new€Technical€Support€position€by€aboutÐ €À ÐApril€1òòstóó.€€It€was€suggested€that€the€WRAP€task€the€new€incumbent€with€reviewing€the€Emission€Forum'sÐ p° Ðguidance€concern€and€helping€prepare€a€plan€which€coordinates€the€EF€and€tribal€effort.Ð `  ÐÌGreg€Stella€pointed€out€that€emission€inventories€not€only€need€consistent€emission€data€now€days,€butÐ @€ Ðalso€have€ancillary€data€needs€such€as€stack€parameters,€location,€SCC's,€control€efficiency,€etc.Ð 0p ÐÌà@ˆ ˆ ìàðHð€2000€Stationary€Source€SOòò2óó€Emission€Inventory€ðHðˆÐ P ÐÌRegarding€ðð309€RHR€implementation,€the€GCVTC€projected€that€Stationary€Source€SOòò2óó€emissions€fromÐ ð0 Ðthe€nine€transport€region€states,€would€decrease€by€13%€in€the€first€decade€after€1990.€€In€November€'01,Ð à  Ðthe€Emission€Forum€issued€an€approximate€$10K€contract€to€compile€this€year€2000€inventory€toÐ Ð  Ðconfirm€that€the€region€achieved€at€least€the€13%€reduction.Ð À!  ÐÌThis€date€Jim€Wilson€presented€a€preliminary€summary€of€the€results€which€he€suggested€allow€theÐ  #à" ÐWRAP€to€"declare€victory".€€€He€calculated€a€21%€reduction€in€stationary€source€SOòò2óó€shown€in€2000.€Ð $Ð # ÐThis€reduction€represented€approximately€174K€TPY,€from€a€1990€level€of€828K,€down€to€about€654KÐ €%À!$ Ðtons€in€2000.Ð p&°"% ÐÌMr.€Wilson€explained€that€Pechan€used€acid€rain€data€for€utilities,€and€that€they€went€directly€to€theÐ P($' Ðstates€to€get€the€year€2000€data€for€the€non„utility€sources.€€He€noted€that€he€received€responses€from€allÐ @)€%( Ðtransport€region€states,€except€California€where€inventory€information€is€delayed€longer€than€for€otherÐ 0*p&) Ðstates.€€There€Pechan€"manipulated"€1999€data€to€come€up€with€an€estimate€for€2000€numbers.Ð  +`'* ÐÌThis€date€Wayne€Leipold€noted€that€the€number€smelter€portion€of€the€2000€inventory€should€be€closerÐ -@), Ðto€36K,€rather€than€Pechan's€reported€85K.€€Thus€Pechan's€preliminary€total€was€about€49K€high€(all€outÐ ð-0*- Ðof€New€Mexico).€€So€the€final€year€2000€transport€region€emission€total€should€be€closer€to€605K€of€SOòò2óó,Ð À Ðand€the€reduction€would€then€calculate€nearer€to€27%€over€the€previous€decade.Ð °ð ÐÌMr.€Leipold€clarified€that€the€New€Mexico€emissions€were€lower€because€the€Phelps€Dodge€HidalgoÐ Ð Ðcopper€smelter€was€on€temporary€shutdown€in€2000.€€Therefore€the€61K€reported€for€New€Mexico,Ð €À Ðreally€should€be€about€12K,€all€from€the€Phelps€Dodge€Chino€smelter.€€The€smelters€that€were€down€inÐ p° Ð2000€(Ô_ÔPDÔ_Ô€Hidalgo€in€NM€&€BHP€San€Manuel€in€AZ)€may€resume€operation€in€the€future,€and€thus€itÐ `   Ðcannot€be€guaranteed€that€the€lower€copper€smelter€sector€numbers€experienced€in€2000,€will€beÐ P  Ðpermanent€in€the€future.Ð @ € ÐÌThere€was€some€discussion€as€to€whether€the€total€should€include€only€those€sources€with€emissionsÐ  `  Ðgreater€than€100€TPY€in€2000;€or€whether€it€should€include€those€sources€identified€as€"major"€in€2000,Ð P  Ðò òplusó ó€the€sources€that€were€major€in€1990€and€have€now€dropped€below€the€100€TPY€threshold€in€theÐ @  Ðyear€2000.€€Speculation€was€that€these€sources€could€represent€about€5,000€tons,€and€therefore€itÐ ð0  Ðwouldn't€make€a€lot€of€difference€either€way€in€assessing€the€reduction.€€It€was€concluded€that€PechanÐ à  Ðshould€put€them€in€the€report€as€a€separate€line€item.Ð Ð ÐÌPat€Cummins€emphasized€that€this€is€the€òò"compliance"óó€report,€so€it€must€adequately€reference€allÐ °ð Ðspreadsheets/tables€used€to€develop€the€conclusion,€and€fully€document€where€the€each€piece€ofÐ  à Ðinformation€came€from.€€Pechan€felt€that€they€would€be€able€to€complete€the€final€report€by€February€8òòthóó.Ð Ð ÐÌà@¼¼ìàðHð€2018€Emissions€Projections€ðHðˆÐ p° ÐÌPechan€was€issued€a€contract€on€July€5,€2001€(June€28òòthóó€proposal)€for€almost€$174K€to€prepare€2018Ð P Ðprojections€for€the€Base€Case€and€Control€Case€Emission€Inventories.Ð @€ ÐÌSubsequently€the€EF€determined€that€in€order€to€complete€all€necessary€modeling€demonstrations€forÐ  ` Ðimplementing€ðð309€SIP's,€the€WRAP€would€need€two€additional€2018€projections€characterizing€theÐ P ÐCommand€&€Control€"BART"€Case.€€The€first€BART€inventory€would€be€derived€by€subtracting€theÐ @ ÐMTF's€calculation€of€168,270€tons€of€SOòò2óó€transport€region€BART€reductions,€from€Pechan's€2018€BaseÐ ð0 ÐCase€projection;€while€the€second€scenario€would€be€a€"sensitivity"€case€with€60,000€tons€of€SOòò2óó€addedÐ à  Ðto€the€inventory€to€account€for€"uncertainty"€in€the€BART€predictions.Ð Ð  ÐÌAlso,€it€was€determined€that€the€modelers€would€need€a€"P2"€2018€Emission€Inventory€to€reflect€theÐ °"ð! Ðimplementation€of€renewable€energy/energy€efficiency€(RE/EE)€goals€in€the€Regional€Haze€Rule.€Ð  #à" ÐFinally,€review€of€the€initial€Base€Case€revealed€that€the€lifetime€assumptions€were€too€short€(30€years),Ð $Ð # Ðand€sources€were€actually€operating€longer€(45€years).€€Adjustments€to€increase€these€source€lifetimes,€toÐ €%À!$ Ðaccount€for€"known€controls",€and€to€apply€growth€factors€to€CENRAP€states€which€were€previouslyÐ p&°"% Ðapplied€to€WRAP€emissions,€resulted€in€additional€work€for€Pechan€to€revise€that€original€Base€Case.Ð `' #& ÐÌBecause€of€these€additional€tasks,€Pechan's€contract€was€modified€on€January€29,€2002€(January€23òòrdóóÐ @)€%( Ðproposal)€for€another€approximately€$23K,€making€the€total€2018€projections€contract€cost€aroundÐ 0*p&) Ð$197K.Ð  +`'* ÐÌAs€noted,€this€contract€will€produce€five€2018€scenarios:Ð -@), ÐÐ ð-0*- ÐÓ! „Fu7„eÕ!Ó1)à F àBase€CaseÐ À Ð2)à F àControl€CaseÐ °ð Ð3)à F àBART€CaseÐ  à Ð4)à F àBART€Case€(w/€60K€tons€uncertainty)Ð Ð Ð5)à F àP2€least€cost€RE/EE€scenarioÐ €À ÐÌò òòò2018€Base€Caseóóó óÐ `   ÐPechan€issued€a€draft€Base€Case€Report€on€December€13,€2001,€which€was€distributed€to€forumÐ P  Ðmembers€for€review€before€the€end€of€the€year.€€Pechan€has€been€working€on€the€revised€Base€Case€priorÐ @ € Ðto€the€contract€revision€being€finalized,€and€this€date€Jim€Wilson€distributed€a€revised€table€to€replaceÐ 0 p  ÐTable€VII„2€of€that€report.€€This€table€shows€revised€SOòò2óó,€NOòòxóó€and€PM€values€(by€source€category)€dueÐ  `  Ðto€the€adjusted€lifetime€assumptions€for€the€non„utility,€non„copper€"other€industry"€sources.Ð P  ÐÌMr.€Wilson€has€attempted€to€obtain€data€from€the€nine€CENRAP€states€that€are€part€of€this€inventory,Ð ð0  Ðbut€this€date€he€pointed€out€that€the€information€was€simply€not€coming€in€from€the€Great€Plains.€€ThisÐ à  Ðwas€partly€due€to€confusion€in€who€to€contact€(it€was€finally€determined€that€CENRAP€officials€wouldÐ Ð Ðlike€to€be€the€parties€that€distribute€requests€for€information€to€their€states,€with€the€requests€comingÐ À Ðthrough€their€offices).€€Thus€major€source€unit€start€dates€are€not€available,€and€Pechan€will€have€to€useÐ °ð Ðgeneric€retirement€rates€for€those€sources.€€He€noted€that€Pechan€had€obtained€some€specific€informationÐ  à Ðon€the€Dallas/Ft€Worth€area€non„attainment€program,€and€had€determined€that€certain€eastern€MissouriÐ Ð Ðcounties€are€subject€to€the€EPA's€"NOòòxóó€Call",€therefore€known€controls€will€be€factored€in€to€emissionsÐ €À Ðfrom€these€areas.€€He€also€explained€that€Pechan€will€be€using€new€growth€factors€for€CENRAPÐ p° Ðemissions,€incorporating€EGAS€modeling€results.Ð `  ÐÌRegarding€the€project€schedule,€Mr.€Wilson€indicated€that€the€revised€Base€Case€would€be€done€byÐ @€ Ðaround€February€5òòthóó,€with€the€additional€control€and€BART€scenarios€completed€by€the€end€of€FebruaryÐ 0p Ð'02.€€He€noted€that€ICF,€who€has€the€contract€to€make€the€"least€cost"€RE/EE€projections,€would€have€aÐ  ` ÐP2€file€to€Pechan€by€end€of€February,€and€Pechan€would€have€the€P2€projection€done€the€first€part€ofÐ P ÐMarch.Ð @ ÐÌIt€was€pointed€out€during€this€meeting,€that€so€far,€Pechan€had€focused€only€on€SOòò2óó,€NOòòxóó€and€PM€in€theirÐ à  Ðforecasting.€€It€was€clarified€that€the€final€2018€projections€will€need€to€include€the€full€suite€of€visibilityÐ Ð  Ðimpairing€pollutants€that€were€incorporated€into€the€1996€inventory€(SOòò2óó,€NOòòxóó,€PMòò10óó,€PMòò2.5óó€VOC,€CO€&Ð À!  ÐNHòò3óó).€€Also€Pechan€was€asked€to€include€in€the€final€report,€the€same€type€of€source€category€breakdownÐ °"ð! Ð(utility,€copper,€other€industry)€for€all€states,€that€had€been€in€the€initial€draft€only€for€the€WRAP€states.€Ð  #à" ÐBesides€the€report€itself,€Pechan€was€directed€that€the€WRAP€will€need€EXCEL€copies€of€theÐ $Ð # Ðspreadsheet€tables€in€order€to€have€access€to€the€real€numbers.€€It€was€determined€that€the€actual€filesÐ €%À!$ Ðwould€be€sent€just€to€MCNC€for€modeling€and€be€archived€at€Pechan,€rather€than€submitted€with€theÐ p&°"% Ðcontract€work€product.Ð `' #& ÐÌThe€current€Pechan€2018€Base€Case€DRAFT€Report€will€be€posted€on€the€WRAP€web€page€seekingÐ @)€%( Ðcomments€back€by€Feb€15òòthóó.Ð 0*p&) Ðâ âÐ  +`'* ÐÔ& ° Ôâ ââ ââ âà@  ìàðHð€Quality€Assurance€of€2018€Projections€ðHðˆÐ À ÐÌLee€Gribovicz€noted€that€the€current€Emission€Forum€budget€had€set€aside€$20K€for€Quality€AssuranceÐ  à Ðof€the€1996€WRAP€emission€inventory,€and€another€$10K€for€QA€of€the€2018€projections.€€However€asÐ Ð ÐÔ'°ÀqÔnoted€earlier€in€these€minutes,€the€Pechan€QA€contract€for€1996€took€all€of€the€QA€budget€($30,372).€€InÐ €À Ðdiscussing€whether€any€further€QA€work€should€be€done,€participants€suggested€that€the€work€completedÐ p° Ðfor€the€1996€inventory€should€carry€over€somewhat€to€2018,€because€we're€projecting€off€that€'96Ð `   Ðinventory€to€obtain€the€future€year€emissions.€€The€only€other€element€that€might€be€considered€isÐ P  Ðwhether€Pechan€has€done€the€projections€right.€€It€was€the€general€consensus€of€the€Forum€that€there€isÐ @ € Ðcurrently€no€need€for€a€separate€QA€of€this€2018€project.Ð 0 p  ÐÌPat€Cummins€noted€that€with€the€2018€mobile€emissions€added€to€the€new€Pechan€P&A€inventory€totalsÐ P  Ðthat€total€NOòòxóó€would€go€down€about€1.4€MM€TPY€(ð ð33%),€while€the€total€SOòò2óó€would€decrease€aboutÐ @  Ð120K€TPY€from€1996€(ð ð10%).Ð ð0  ÐÌÔ& À Ôà@VVìàðHð€Economic€Coordination€ðHðˆÐ Ð ÐÌDennis€Schwehr€pointed€out€that€Fred€Roach€has€produced€an€Economic€Forum€workplan,€and€theÐ °ð ÐEmission€Forum€needs€to€maintain€integration/coordination€Ô'ÀÐlvÔwith€Dr.€Roach.€€He€wanted€to€make€sureÐ  à Ðthat€the€Economic€Forum€was€kept€appraised€of€the€types€of€economic€assumptions€that€were€used€in€theÐ Ð Ð2018€projections€project.€€Pat€Cummins€pointed€out€that€the€new€"Policy"€staff€position€at€WGA€willÐ €À Ðhave€economic€expertise,€and€will€help€coordinate€the€Forums'€efforts.Ð p° ÐÌà@ÿÿ%ìàðHð€Alaska€ðHðˆÐ P ÐÌLee€Gribovicz€pointed€out€that€Alaska€has€now€joined€the€WRAP€as€of€the€Fall€2001€Board€Meeting,Ð 0p Ðand€he€put€the€question€out€on€the€table€as€to€what€support€the€Emission€Forum€was€expected€to€supplyÐ  ` ÐAlaska.€€It€was€pointed€out€that€the€EPA€geographically€"assigned"€Alaska€to€the€WRAP€RPO,€but€thatÐ P Ðstates€weren't€actually€required€to€JOIN€their€default€RPO€(see€Nevada).€€However,€the€WRAP€has€theÐ @ ÐRegional€Haze€implementation€money,€therefore€in€order€to€take€advantage€of€the€technical€expertise€ofÐ ð0 Ðthe€WRAP,€Alaska€had€decided€to€join.€€Pat€Cummins€pointed€out€that€there€is€nothing€in€the€currentÐ à  Ðworkplan€for€Alaska,€but€that€the€next€work€planning€&€grant€cycle€has€to€include€consideration€of€theirÐ Ð  Ðneeds.€€He€felt€that€the€IOC€&€TOC€should€be€discussing€the€requirements€for€Alaska,€but€there€is€noÐ À!  Ðfurther€work€for€the€forums€as€of€now.Ð °"ð! ÐÌà@Ÿ Ÿ ìàðHð€International€EI€Discussions:€Montreal€Meeting€ðHðˆÐ $Ð # ÐÌLee€Gribovicz€explained€that€the€North€American€Commission€for€Environmental€Cooperation€(CEC),Ð p&°"% Ðrepresented€by€the€three€environment€ministers€of€Canada,€Mexico,€and€the€United€States,€adopted€aÐ `' #& ÐJune€29òòthóó,€2001€resolution€"to€work€toward€ò òòòdeveloping€a€tri„national€inventory€for€air€emissionsóóó ó,Ð P($' Ðincluding€sulfur€dioxide€(SOòò2óó),€nitrogen€oxides€(NOòòxóó),€carbon€monoxide€(CO),€volatile€organicÐ @)€%( Ðcompounds€(VOC's),€particulate€aerosols,€and€greenhouse€gases".Ð 0*p&) ÐÌThe€CEC€held€a€November€15òòthóó,€2001€meeting€in€Montreal,€Canada€and€Greg€Stella€was€thereÐ ,P(+ Ðrepresenting€the€EPA.€€He€noted€that€representatives€were€present€from€U.S.€State€&€Federal,€CanadianÐ -@), ÐFederal€&€Provincial,€and€Mexican€Federal€&€City€agencies.€€Participants€agreed€to€work€towards€anÐ ð-0*- Ðintegrated€SOòò2óó,€NOòòxóó,€ozone,€and€PM€Emission€Inventory€for€North€America.€€They€defined€a€limited€setÐ À Ðof€common€denominators€and€variables€at€this€meeting,€and€agreed€to€work€to€adopt€common€structure,Ð °ð Ðdata€elements,€units.€€But€this€was€mostly€an€introductory€meeting€without€a€lot€of€concrete€action€taken.Ð  à ÐÌMr.€Stella€noted€that€the€Mexican€EI€effort€will€springboard€off€WRAP€funding€under€ERG€(see€nextÐ €À Ðsection),€the€meeting€functioned€primarily€to€inform€new€staff€members€from€the€new€MexicanÐ p° ÐAdministration€(most€were€replaced€when€Vincente€Fox€was€elected)€about€inventory€preparationÐ `   Ðtechniques.Ð P  ÐÌRegarding€Canada,€Mr.€Stella€pointed€out€that€information€on€Canadian€point€sources€is€stillÐ 0 p  Ðconfidential,€but€that€three€months€ago€he€received€a€1995€area€&€mobile€source€inventory€for€the€wholeÐ  `  Ðcountry€at€the€provincial€level.€€Potentially€by€Summer€'02,€Canada€may€produce€4KM€grid€files€of€pointÐ P  Ðsource€emissions€„€speciated€&€temporally€allocated.€€He€explained€that€the€Scope€of€Work€is€written,Ð @  Ðbut€that€the€contract€isn't€out€yet.Ð ð0  ÐÌHe€noted€that€the€CEC€is€developing€a€DRAFT€inventory€plan€(see€CEC€website€at€http://www.cec.orgÐ Ð Ðfor€details),€and€will€accept€comments€on€this€draft€prior€to€finalizing€the€document.Ð À ÐÌPat€Cummins€noted€that€the€WRAP€retains€an€international€projects€committee€òò"on€paper"óó,€but€theÐ  à ÐEmission€Forum€is€actually€working€more€on€the€international€issues.€€It€was€the€general€consensus€ofÐ Ð Ðthe€members€present€that€the€TOC€should€begin€discussions€on€how€the€WRAP€should€participate€in€thisÐ €À Ðeffort.Ð p° ÐÌà@— — ìàðHð€International€EI€Discussions:€Mexico€EI€Project€ðHðˆÐ P ÐÌWGA€has€entered€into€a€contract€with€Eastern€Research€Group€(ERG)€for€development€of€a€MexicanÐ 0p ÐEmission€Inventory€($400,000),€which€is€separate€&€distinct€from€the€WRAP€RH€budget.€€This€dateÐ  ` ÐPaula€Fields€of€ERG€gave€a€presentation€on€the€status€of€this€project.Ð P ÐÌMs.€Fields€noted€that€this€work€expands€on€the€"piecemeal"€inventory€for€three€northwest€Mexican€statesÐ ð0 Ðthat€was€subcontracted€by€ERG€under€the€PES€compilation€of€the€1996€base€year€contract.€€She€notedÐ à  Ðthat€Rich€Halvey€was€the€WGA€representative€for€this€project.€€She€explained€that€they€wanted€to€getÐ Ð  Ðthis€project€in€front€of€the€Emission€Forum,€to€seek€advice€as€to€what€the€WRAP€wants€to€see€from€thisÐ À!  Ðeffort,€and€to€request€that€the€Emission€Forum€provide€help€to€the€Technical€Advisory€Committee€(TAC)Ð °"ð! Ðfor€this€effort.Ð  #à" ÐÌShe€noted€that€the€project€began€in€1994€under€the€Mexican€Institute€National€Ecology€(INE)€as€a€sort€ofÐ €%À!$ Ð"Mexico€NEI"€,€however€the€project€was€really€"derailed"€by€the€national€Mexican€election€and€theÐ p&°"% Ðresultant€massive€turnover€in€Mexican€Federal€personnel.€€She€noted€that€Mexico€doesn't€have€the€sameÐ `' #& Ðpriorities€as€the€United€States,€and€that€visibility€was€not€nearly€so€high€on€the€Mexican€list.€€She€saidÐ P($' Ðthat€they€are€targeting€a€1999€base€year,€including€seven€visibility€impairing€pollutants.€€This€project€willÐ @)€%( Ðbe€completed€in€phases,€first€working€on€a€complete€inventory€for€the€six€northern€Mexican€states,€withÐ 0*p&) Ðthis€border€inventory€by€targeted€for€March,€2003€completion.€€They€are€also€working€on€"CapacityÐ  +`'* ÐBuilding"€and€preparing€a€series€of€manuals€similar€to€EIIP€and€AP„42€guidance.€€€She€noted€thatÐ ,P(+ Ðâ âMexico€doesn't€have€a€"Right€to€Know"€law,€and€information€on€point€sources€is€confidential.€€The€INEÐ -@), Ðhas€some€point€source€data,€but€just€doesn't€have€permission€to€publish€the€data.€€Thus€the€effort€isÐ À Ðfraught€with€Political€&€Administrative€challenges,€as€well€as€Technical€challenges.Ð °ð Ðâ âÌShe€noted€that€the€Mexico€Technical€Advisory€Committee€was€meeting€in€Monterey,€Mexico€FebruaryÐ Ð Ð26òòthóó,€2002,€and€that€they€would€really€like€to€have€WRAP€Emission€Forum€participation€at€that€meeting.€Ð €À ÐShe€noted€that€travel€funding€was€covered€by€the€contract,€and€that€the€TAC€was€expected€to€meet€aboutÐ p° Ðthree€times€per€year.Ð `   ÐÌAs€an€initial€point€of€coordination,€the€Emission€Forum€members€directed€Lee€Gribovicz€to€send€a€mapÐ @ € Ðof€the€WRAP€model€domain€to€this€group.Ð 0 p  ÐÌÔ& À Ôà@Ú Ú ìàðHð€EI€Improvements:€Temporal/Spatial€Allocation,€Speciation€ðHðˆÐ P  ÐÌEmission€Forum€members€have€raised€the€issue€of€consistency€in€the€preparation€of€the€emissionÐ ð0  Ðinventories.€€It€was€noted€that€EI€preparation€methods€vary€significantly€between€political€jurisdictions,Ô'À“”ÔÐ à  Ðand€one€of€the€areas€where€there€are€significant€questions€regarding€the€accuracy€of€EI's€involve€theÐ Ð Ðrealm€of€temporal/spatial€allocation€of€emissions€and€speciation€of€pollutants.€€Lee€Gribovicz€noted€thatÐ À Ðthe€Forum€has€budgeted€a€$75K€line€item€to€work€on€EI€improvements€in€this€area.Ð °ð ÐÌBrock€LeBaron€was€assigned€the€task€of€working€on€this€issue,€and€he€noted€that€there€is€a€movementÐ Ð Ðamong€RPO's€to€evaluate€these€matters€on€a€broader€basis.€€The€basic€premise€is€"don't€duplicate€effort"Ð €À Ðand€"don't€reinvent€the€wheel".€€EPA's€Greg€Stella€is€working€on€this€issue€nationally,€and€he€wasÐ p° Ðpresent€from€North€Carolina€to€hear€WRAP€concerns€and€help€coordinate€the€expense€of€research€toÐ `  Ðimprove€these€allocation/speciation€factors.Ð P ÐÌMr.€LeBaron€pointed€out€that€we€worry€about€errors€in€emission€numbers€that€goes€into€modeling,€butÐ 0p Ðthat€there€is€also€significant€potential€error€by€forcing€the€data€into€models€without€good€speciation€andÐ  ` Ðallocation€of€those€emissions.€€He€noted€that€the€WRAP€is€testing€REMSAD€for€RH€modeling,€but€thatÐ P Ðmodel€has€problems€with€over„prediction€of€some€pollutants.€€The€other€option€is€to€run€CMAQ,€but€thatÐ @ Ðmodel€takes€a€very€long€time€to€complete€an€annual€run€(up€to€six€weeks€for€each€scenario),€therefore€heÐ ð0 Ðconcluded€that€we€don't€have€the€luxury€of€making€a€lot€of€mistakes€that€lead€to€re„running€models.Ð à  ÐÌHe€felt€that€there€are€three€issues€with€emission€data:Ð À!  ÐÓ°Ü„FuÂÓÌ„à0 ° àmust€break€down€annual€data€to€some€sort€of€hourly/daily€valuesР#à"°T$°T$ Єà0 ° àalso€must€break€down€the€emissions€into€the€right€geographic€locationÐ$Ð #°T$°T$ Єà0 ° àthen€must€break€down€the€VOC€into€reactive€classes€to€meet€the€model€requirements€(CB„IV,Ð €%À!$ ÐSAPRAC);€PM€must€be€broken€down€to€EC,€OC,€etcÐp&°"%°T$°T$ ÐÌHe€explained€that€this€processing€is€what€SMOKE€does,€utilizing€temporal,€spatial€&€speciation€factorsÐ P($' Ðbased€on€SCC€codes.€€He€noted€that€there€are€national€defaults€for€these€factors,€but€we€need€to€knowÐ @)€%( Ðwhether€these€SMOKE€profiles€are€accurate€for€specific€parts€of€the€country.€€And€he€worried€about€theÐ 0*p&) Ðproblems€where€SCC€codes€may€have€been€changed€for€certain€industries.€He€noted€that€ozone€has€aÐ  +`'* Ðlong€running€history,€therefore€profiles€are€more€widely€known,€but€PMòò2.5óó€represents€a€much€youngerÐ ,P(+ Ðissue€with€considerably€more€uncertainty€in€the€profiles.Ð -@), ÐÐ ð-0*- ÐHe€also€noted€that€evaluation€of€a€specific€allocation€or€speciation€factor€is€expensive,€and€whatever€weÐ À Ðdo,€we€want€to€assure€coordination€with€other€RPO's€and€spend€our€money€wisely€to€help€improve€theÐ °ð Ðaccuracy€of€our€inventories.Ð  à ÐÌRoy€Doyle€was€thinking€of€the€temporal€information€provided€in€state€NEI€submittals€of€seasonal€data,Ð €À Ðand€asked€whether€that€was€being€used.€€Greg€Stella€explained€that€prior€to€the€development€of€SMOKEÐ p° Ðthe€seasonal€proportions€were€used,€but€now€SMOKE€doesn't€directly€access€the€NEI.Ð `   ÐÌGreg€Stella€then€described€two€projects€that€are€going€forward€under€the€EIIP€Program:€€(1)€"SmartÐ @ € ÐGrowth"€Project€and€(2)€an€Emission€Modeling€Sensitivity€study.Ð 0 p  ÐÌPatrick€Barickman€of€Utah€is€in€charge€of€the€"Smart€Growth"€Project€to€spatially€allocate€emissions€inÐ P  Ðan€urban€area€(account€for€sprawl).Ð @  ÐÌThe€Emission€Modeling€Sensitivity€study€is€to€be€carried€on€by€EPA€and€initial€results€are€hoped€for€thisÐ à  ÐSummer€(report€target€by€year€end).€€This€work€will€evaluate€15„20€case€scenarios€selected€from€both€theÐ Ð Ðeastern€and€western€portions€of€the€country€(focus€on€ozone€in€the€east,€PM€in€the€west).€€The€modelersÐ À Ðwill€determine€the€difference€between€the€selected€scenario,€and€a€base€case€using€a€different€profile.€€HeÐ °ð Ðexplained€that€they€still€developing€the€Scope€of€Work€for€this€project€at€this€time.Ð  à ÐÌHe€described€three€other€National€projects:Ð €À ÐÌ1)à0 ° àimprovement€of€temporal€profiles€for€non„CAFO€area€sources€(unpaved€roads,€residential,€industrialÐ `  Ðfuel€use€and€agricultural€tilling)ÐP°T$°T$ ÐÌ2)à0 ° àdevelopment€of€a€default€set€of€4KM€spatial€surrogates€(for€RPO's)Ð0p°T$°T$ ÐÌ3)à0 ° àEIIP€„€PM€&€VOC€Improvement€Program:€study€of€future€year€speciation€profiles€in€general€andÐ P Ðhow€they€will€change€from€the€base€yearÐ@°T$°T$ ÐÌAfter€Mr.€Stella€was€finished,€the€Forum€members€entered€in€to€a€general€discussion€about€possibleÐ à  Ðprojects€we€might€undertake€with€our€limited€$75K€resources.€€Suggestions€for€western€activitiesÐ Ð  Ðincluded:Ð À!  ÐÌ„à0 ° àtemporal€profiles€of€dustР#à"°T$°T$ Єà0 ° àQA€whether€our€sources€have€correctly€assigned€SCC'sÐ$Ð #°T$°T$ Єà0 ° àlook€at€CEM€data,€and€determine€whether€the€temporal€profiles€matchЀ%À!$°T$°T$ Ðà0 ° à(ie/€discrepancy€would€be€shown€if€the€national€profile€shows€winter€peaking,€while€western€CEMÐ p&°"% Ðdata€indicates€summer€peaking)Ð`' #&°T$°T$ Єà0 ° àlook€at€the€back€end€of€SMOKE€and€evaluate€the€data€reportsÐP($'°T$°T$ Ðà0 ° à(should€define€for€MCNC€now€if€we€want€the€data€out€of€this€modeling€round)Ð@)€%(°T$°T$ ÐÌThe€group€felt€that€they€would€like€to€see€what€comes€from€the€EPA€sensitivity€report,€then€determineÐ  +`'* Ðwhat€things€are€going€to€be€significant.€€It€was€felt€that€we€might€work€on€getting€EIIP€funds€to€the€UCRÐ ,P(+ ÐRegional€Modeling€Center€to€do€some€of€the€sensitivity€work.€€Jim€Wilson€noted€that€Pechan€wasÐ -@), Ðworking€with€LADCO€and€in€Pennsylvania€to€complete€some€CEM€evaluations.Ð ð-0*- ЇBecause€of€the€complexity€of€the€issue,€some€felt€that€there€might€be€considerable€work€going€on€in€thisÐ À Ðarena,€that€wasn't€universally€known€in€the€air€pollution€control€community.€€Some€wondered€whether€anÐ °ð Ðextensive€literature€review€might€not€be€a€worthy€project€for€our€money.Ð  à ÐÌMike€George€encouraged€the€Forum€to€spend€the€money€in€some€way,€because€budgets€have€a€way€ofÐ €À Ðdisappearing€if€not€expeditiously€used.€€He€suggested€that€we€pick€a€few€source€categories€that€we€knowÐ p° Ðare€critical€to€the€western€inventory€(power€plants,€combustion€sources)€and€do€a€closer€review€of€theÐ `   Ðdefaults€in€SMOKE€.Ð P  ÐÌIn€the€end,€Brock€LeBaron€agreed€to€write€up€a€DRAFT€RFP€with€some€proposal€for€reasonably€usingÐ 0 p  Ðour€available€funds,€perhaps€checking€CEM€data€for€temporal€allocation€on€power€plants€and€otherÐ  `  Ðcombustion€sources.€€He€agreed€to€contact€Mark€Janssen€at€LADCO,€who€is€a€leading€state€voice€callingÐ P  Ðfor€sharing€speciation/allocation€tasks€among€the€RPO's.Ð @  ÐÌà@¡ ¡ ìàðHð€ðð308€PM€EI€(Actual€or€Allowable)€ðHðˆÐ à  ÐÌBrock€LeBaron€had€raised€this€issue€for€consideration€in€the€Forum.€€He€noted€that€he€found€out€thatÐ À ÐWashington€was€collecting€òòallowableóó€emissions€for€future€year€Regional€Haze€work€and€he€was€puzzledÐ °ð Ðas€to€whether€that€was€appropriate€for€the€task.€€He€felt€that€normally€when€writing€a€SIP€for€a€non„Ð  à Ðreactive€pollutant€(ie/€CO),€you€would€probably€use€allowables,€but€since€we're€looking€at€a€whole€mixÐ Ð Ðof€sources€that€have€atmospheric€chemistry€implications,€Brock€felt€that€you€would€want€òòactualóóÐ €À Ðemissions€for€Regional€Haze.€€He€thought€that€you€might€use€allowable€emissions€for€certain€cases€suchÐ p° Ðas€"Hot€Spot"€analyses€{in€&€near},€but€in€general€you€probably€want€actual€emissions€for€this€effort.€Ð `  ÐThere€was€no€disagreement€with€this€assessment.Ð P ÐÌà@  ìàðHð€EI€Improvements:€Ammonia/Organics€ðHðˆÐ 0p ÐÌLee€noted€that€we€have€a€budget€line€item€of€$10K€for€Emission€Inventory€Improvements€for€ammoniaÐ P Ðand€organics.€€Bill€Fishback€accepted€the€task€of€investigating€this€matter,€and€so€far,€he€has€focused€onÐ @ Ðlooking€at€ammonia€only.€€He€reasoned€that€before€we€spend€money€trying€improve€ammoniaÐ ð0 Ðinventories,€he'd€like€to€get€a€handle€on€how€big€the€problem€is.€€He€asked€contacted€Gail€Tonneson€atÐ à  Ðthe€RMC,€to€see€whether€she€could€provide€any€help€at€modeling€some€sensitivity€runs€where€a€grossÐ Ð  Ðchange€was€made€in€the€ammonia€input€rates.€€Dr.€Tonneson€replied€that€the€RMC€had€indeed€planned€aÐ À!  Ðcouple€of€sensitivity€experiments€with€NHòò3óó:Ð °"ð! ÐÌ1)à0 ° àSeasonal€corrections€using€the€results€of€EPA/ORD€inverse€modeling€of€NHòò3óó€in€the€eastern€U.S.Ð$Ð #°T$°T$ ÐÌ2)à0 ° àAn€emissions€scaling€experiment€where€NHòò3óó€is€increase€emissions€by€some€appropriate€factorÐ p&°"% Ð(double?)€and€determine€the€effect€on€RH€resultsÐ`' #&°T$°T$ ÐÌJust€prior€to€this€meeting,€Dr.€Tonneson€informed€us€that€the€RMC€hadn't€finished€NHòò3óó€sensitivity€workÐ @)€%( Ðas€yet,€but€it€was€imminent.Ð 0*p&) ÐÌThis€date€Forum€members€pondered€the€question€of€whether€we€are€underestimating€NHòò3óó€from€suchÐ ,P(+ Ðsources€as€agriculture.€€It€was€noted€that€the€WRAP€inventory€had€NHòò3óó€included€from€vehicles€based€onÐ -@), Ðsome€cursory€work€from€a€German€Volkswagen€study.Ð ð-0*- ЇBrock€LeBaron€noted€that€Utah€had€done€some€sensitivity€work€in€urban€area€modeling.€€When€theyÐ À Ðdoubled€ammonia,€it€makes€no€difference€in€the€PMòò2.5óó€results,€but€when€the€dropped€ammonia€to€zero,Ð °ð Ðthen€saw€a€large€drop€in€PM€impact.Ð  à ÐÌà@ããìàðHð€Fugitive€Dust€Issues€ðHðˆÐ €À ÐÌLee€Gribovicz€noted€that€we€currently€don't€have€fugitive€wind€erosion€dust€in€the€'96€point€and€areaÐ `   Ðsource€inventory,€and€the€Forum€had€budgeted€$125K€to€fill€that€hole.€€The€1996€NEI€originally€hadÐ P  Ðwind€erosion€in,€but€it€was€eliminated€in€1999€by€EPA€after€significant€questions€came€regarding€theÐ @ € Ðaccuracy€of€the€emission€calculation€methodology.€€Lee€also€noted€that€the€Mobile€Sources€Forum€hadÐ 0 p  Ðquestions€regarding€the€appropriate€emissions€calculations€from€paved€and€unpaved€road€dust,€and€wereÐ  `  Ðawaiting€EPA€revised€emission€factors€to€update€that€portion€of€the€inventory.€€Finally,€the€question€ofÐ P  Ð"natural"€dust€has€yet€to€be€defined€by€the€WRAP€as€it€has€been€under€the€FEJF's€initiative€for€"natural"Ð @  Ðfire,€and€the€Research€&€Development€Forum€is€charged€with€looking€at€that€question.Ð ð0  ÐÌGreg€Stella€noted€that€Mobile€version€6.1€is€being€developed€to€integrate€with€SMOKE,€and€that€versionÐ Ð Ðwill€have€tail€pipe€exhaust€PM€included€(no€road€dust€PM).€€He€felt€that€this€revised€Mobile€model€willÐ À Ðbe€available€by€Fall€'02.Ð °ð ÐÌIn€the€meantime,€because€the€WRAP€modeling€had€to€go€forward,€the€modelers€came€up€with€a€defaultÐ Ð Ðfor€1996.€€They€reinserted€the€1996€NEI€wind€erosion€factors,€and€then€divided€by€4€for€a€fudge€factor.Ð €À ÐÌRegarding€timing,€there€was€some€sentiment€that€we€really€can't€get€this€improved€dust€calculation€intoÐ `  Ðthe€inventory€in€time€for€ðð309€work,€and€those€proponents€felt€that€the€question€becomes,€how€to€moveÐ P Ðforward€with€the€improved€dust€calculation€for€ðð308€SIP's?€€Carrie€MacDougall€was€assigned€the€task€ofÐ @€ Ðworking€up€an€RFP€for€the€Emission€Forum€to€fill€this€wind€erosion€hole,€and€she€tended€to€feel€thatÐ 0p Ðsome€work€might€be€produced€for€ðð309€work,€by€the€Fall€of€this€year.Ð  ` ÐÌThis€date€Ms.€MacDougall€distributed€excerpts€from€the€Clark€County,€Nevada€PM€SIP€which€describedÐ @ ÐClark€County€procedures€for€estimating€wind€erosion.€€She€noted€that€if€they€used€standard€EPA€factors,Ð ð0 Ðit€would€overwhelm€the€PMòò2.5óó€inventory,€therefore€Clark€County€did€some€initial€ambient€sampling,€butÐ à  Ðcouldn't€find€where€the€dust€came€from.€€Therefore€they€went€ahead€and€spent€the€big€bucks€to€hireÐ Ð  ÐUNLV€to€conduct€wind€tunnel€studies€in€the€area.€€She€concluded€that€whatever€emissions€that€we€put€inÐ À!  Ðthe€model€has€to€link€with€the€meteorology€being€used€by€the€model€(episodic€emission€events€mustÐ °"ð! Ðcoincide€with€the€wind€incidents).€€Thus€Clark€County's€work€showed€that€you€couldn't€use€a€"typicalÐ  #à" Ðwind"€meteorology,€but€instead€had€to€have€the€actual€year€met€data.Ð $Ð # ÐÌShe€noted€that€the€Clark€County€work€"Categorized"€the€soils€into€three€classes:Ð p&°"% ÐÌ„à ° ànative€desertÐ P($' Єà ° àdisturbed€landÐ @)€%( Єà ° àstabilized€landÐ 0*p&) ÐÌThe€categorization€was€made€by€actual€field€surveys,€but€she€mentioned€that€they€also€did€satelliteÐ ,P(+ Ðstudies€on€determining€disturbed€land€in€the€county€(they€determined€that€about€10%€of€all€the€vacantÐ -@), Ðland€was€disturbed).Ð ð-0*- ЇShe€noted€that€you€don't€get€dust€off€native€desert€until€wind€reaches€a€threshold€speed€of€25€mph.€€ForÐ À Ðdisturbed€land,€they€assumed€the€dust€reservoir€was€unlimited.Ð °ð ÐÌThe€question€then€becomes,€"HOW€TO€APPLY€TO€THIS€WORK€TO€THE€LARGER€SCALE"?€€Ð Ð ÐÌBrock€LeBaron€noted€that€there€is€a€large€wind€tunnel€in€the€Pacific€NW,€and€he€thought€they€have€a€lotÐ p° Ðof€data€for€agricultural€lands.Ð `   ÐÌMs.€MacDougall€brought€a€list€of€questions€to€answer€including:Ð @ € ÐÌ„à0 ° àMeteorological€Data€„€What€level€of€subregions?€(State,€county,€wind€analysis)Ð ` °T$°T$ Єà0 ° àCategorization€of€Vacant€Land€(disturbed,€undisturbed,€agricultural,€stabilized,€lake€bed)ÐP °T$°T$ Єà0 ° àWhat€about€areas€or€soil€types€with€no€known€factors?€(e.g.€mountainous€areas,€sand€dunes)Ð@ °T$°T$ Єà0 ° àThreshold€wind€velocities€for€category€of€soilÐð0 °T$°T$ Єà0 ° àReservoirs€(endless€or€limited?)Ðà °T$°T$ ÐÌMs.€MacDougall€felt€we€should€make€some€defaults€using€broad€land€categories,€and€her€suggestion€wasÐ À Ðto€limit€the€contractor€to€broad€soil€types€shown€below:Ð °ð ÐÌ„à0 ° àagricultural€tilled€landÐаT$°T$ Єà0 ° àdisturbed€(comes€mainly€from€ranching,€mining€&€urban€areas€in€the€west)ЀÀ°T$°T$ Єà0 ° àundisturbedÐp°°T$°T$ ÐÌThen€we€could€use€satellite€information€to€determine€land€types,€or€perhaps€existing€land€use€data€suchÐ P Ðas€that€used€for€biogenics€calculations€in€SMOKE.€She€felt€we€should€use€the€threshold€wind€velocitiesÐ @€ Ðthat€UNLV€developed.Ð 0p ÐÌThe€output€of€the€effort€would€be€emissions€per€grid€cell.Ð P ÐÌThe€question€of€"natural"€was€raised,€and€it€was€felt€that€we€must€provide€the€"binning"€of€where€theseÐ ð0 Ðemissions€came€from€(ie/€acres€of€disturbed€vs.€acres€of€undisturbed).€€Then€it€becomes€a€policyÐ à  Ðdetermination€on€what's€"natural".Ð Ð  ÐÌBy€the€end€of€the€discussion€Ms.€MacDougall€felt€that€she€had€enough€input€from€the€Forum€to€write€upÐ °"ð! Ða€DRAFT€RFP.€€That€DRAFT€will€be€circulated€by€the€Forum€Co„Chairs€and€then€Carrie€will€work€withÐ  #à" ÐWGA€to€get€a€contract€on€the€street.Ð $Ð # ÐÌòòò òó óóóà@¢¢ìàðHð€Arizona€Mining€Association€ðHðˆÐ p&°"% ÐÌBack€at€the€September€'01€EF€Meeting,€the€Arizona€Mining€Association€distributed€a€proposal€regardingÐ P($' Ðresearch€to€more€accurately€calculate€mine€haul€road€dust€emission€factors.€€There€is€uncertainty€andÐ @)€%( Ðlimited€confidence€in€the€applicability€of€current€factors€for€dry€southwest€area€mines.€€The€AssociationÐ 0*p&) Ðwanted€Emission€Forum€evaluation€of€the€project€and€if€there€was€interest,€they€wanted€to€exploreÐ  +`'* ÐWRAP€funding.Ð ,P(+ Ðâ âÐ -@), ÐThe€proposal€was€sent€out€to€Emission€Forum€members€after€that€September€meeting,€but€no€responseÐ À Ðâ âreceived.€€Therefore€it€was€concluded€that€the€Emission€Forum€was€not€interested€helping€with€thisÐ °ð Ðresearch.Ð  à ÐÌà@  ìàðHð€Gillette€Box€Model€ðHðˆÐ €À ÐÌWESTAR€has€issued€an€RFP€for€contractors€to€get€field€data€to€validate€the€"Gillette€Box€Model"€forÐ `   Ðdetermining€what€portion€of€fugitive€dust€participates€in€regional€transport.€€No€additional€informationÐ P  Ðwas€available€this€date,€and€as€the€members€generally€agreed€that€it€was€prudent€to€track€the€progress€ofÐ @ € Ðthis€project,€Lee€Gribovicz€was€determine€the€status€and€report€back€to€the€forum€at€the€next€meeting.Ð 0 p  ÐÌòòò òó óóóà@::ìàðHð€WRAP€Database€Development€ðHðˆÐ P  ÐÌThe€Emission€Forum€has€been€discussing€the€eventual€development€for€a€WRAP€Regional€Database€toÐ ð0  Ðhouse€the€EI€information€compiled€for€RHR€implementation.€€Possible€uses€of€such€a€database,€include:€Ð à  ÐÌÓ °ÜŒ °ÜÓ„à ° àtracking€MTF€milestones€(SOòò2óó€only,€every€year)Ð À Єà0 ° àtrading€program€triggerаð°T$°T$ Єà ° àtracking€Clean€Air€Corridors€(every€year)Ð  à Єà ° àtracking€fire€program€emissionsÐ Ð Єà ° àproviding€for€future€modeling€to€demonstrate€visibility€improvementÐ €À Єà ° àtracking€the€mobile€source€emissions€budgetÐ p° Єà ° àprovide€for€public€information€(GIS€components)Ð `  Єà ° àQA€functionsÐ P ÐÌAt€the€last€meeting,€the€Forum€discussed€issues€involved€in€the€database€debate€and€it€was€noted€thatÐ 0p ÐEmission€Inventories€are€growing€more€national€(even€international)€in€scope.€€Steve€Aalbers€and€MikeÐ  ` ÐSundblom€were€jointly€assigned€the€task€of€preparing€a€Scope€of€Work€to€establish€this€EI€DatabaseÐ P Ðtaking€into€account€these€factors.€€It€was€noted€that€we€have€a€line€item€of€$80K€dedicated€to€this€task€inÐ @ Ðthe€2002€budget.Ð ð0 ÐÌThis€date€Sarah€Kelley€of€ITEP€noted€that€the€TDDWG€will€release€an€RFP€shortly,€for€a€developmentÐ Ð  Ðof€tool€to€"calculate"€emissions€for€the€tribes.€€That€RFP€assumes€that€information€will€be€submitted€toÐ À!  Ðthe€WRAP€database€most€likely€in€NIF€2.0€format.€€Greg€Stella€noted€that€Tom€Pace€of€EPA€was€inÐ °"ð! Ðcharge€of€a€project€to€develop€the€Area€Source€Emission€Model€(ASEM)€and€suggested€that€theÐ  #à" ÐTDDWG€investigate€the€capability€of€that€model.Ð $Ð # ÐÌQuestions€were€raised€as€to€the€level€required€for€the€proposal€(Cadillac€vs.€Toyota)€and€it€was€noted€thatÐ p&°"% Ðthere€will€be€an€issue€of€separating€out€emissions€from€tribal€lands€versus€those€from€county€levelÐ `' #& Ðemission€calculations.€€Thus€it€was€clear€that€the€EF€must€pay€special€attention€to€tribal€issues€ofÐ P($' Ðoverlapping€data€in€the€development€of€this€database.Ð @)€%( ÐÌAlso,€display€and€access€to€the€data€were€considered.€€It€was€noted€that€the€Ambient€Monitoring€ForumÐ  +`'* Ðhas€their€database€at€Colorado€State€University,€and€that€it€would€be€nice€if€te€emission€inventory€dataÐ ,P(+ Ðbase€were€at€the€same€location.Ð -@), ÐÐ ð-0*- ÐIn€an€effort€to€limit€"reinvention€of€the€wheel",€it€was€again€suggested€that€the€Emission€Forum€take€theÐ À ÐNEI€structure,€scripts,€tables,€etc.€and€use€this€as€a€basis€for€the€WRAP€database€design.Ð °ð ÐÌThe€question€of€multiple€data€submittals€came€up.€€States€are€uneasy€with€submitting€data€to€both€theÐ Ð ÐEPA€NEI€and€to€the€WRAP.€€Greg€Stella€noted€that€LADCO€recently€set€up€an€agreement€for€them€toÐ €À Ðsubmit€data€to€NEI€for€the€states€in€their€region,€and€it€was€thought€that€such€a€model€might€minimizeÐ p° Ðsome€of€state€concerns€with€duplicate€data€submittals.€€Lee€Gribovicz€was€charged€with€investigatingÐ `   Ðsetting€up€the€same€type€of€agreement€for€WRAP.Ð P  ÐÌIt€is€envisioned€that€this€database€system€will€be€a€dynamic,€"living",€continuous€activity,€rather€thanÐ 0 p  Ðsome€static€emission€inventory€calculated€for€some€set€time.€€Another€element€that€was€suggested€wasÐ  `  Ðthat€we€always€need€to€keep€a€"footprint"€of€the€data€so€we€know€where€the€data€came€from€in€the€past.€Ð P  ÐThere€was€some€suggestion€that€maybe€this€might€become€an€"in„house€function".€€Web€access€and€GISÐ @  Ðcapability€were€determined€to€be€critical€portions€of€the€new€database.Ð ð0  ÐÌThe€question€was€raised€as€to€whether€we€were€looking€only€at€the€development€of€this€database,€orÐ Ð Ðwhether€we€wanted€to€look€at€including€òòbothóó€development€ò òòòand€maintenanceóóó ó€in€this€proposal.€€PatÐ À ÐCummins€made€a€proposal€that€this€project€include€three€parts;€€1)€the€initial€development€of€theÐ °ð Ðdatabase,€2)€initial€population€of€the€database€and€3)€a€task€for€training€a€database€manager.€€There€wasÐ  à Ðconsensus€around€this€content,€but€there€was€some€thought€that€the€current€$80K€budget€would€not€likelyÐ Ð Ðcover€the€project.€€The€Emission€Forum€has€a€number€of€projects€which€have€not€yet€been€contracted,Ð €À Ðtherefore€it€was€decided€to€pull€an€extra€$40,000€out€to€cap€this€database€RFP€at€$120K.€€MikeÐ p° ÐSundblom€and€Steve€Aalbers€had€completed€an€initial€draft€of€the€database€RFP€which€was€distributed€toÐ `  Ðthe€members€before€this€meeting,€and€Mr.€Sundblom€agreed€to€revise€this€document€to€incorporate€theÐ P Ðparameters€that€had€been€suggested€at€this€meeting.€€The€document€will€then€be€circulated€for€finalÐ @€ Ðreview€by€the€Forum€before€seeking€bids€on€the€project.Ð 0p ÐÌà@®®ìàðHð€IAS€Re„Engineering€Project€ðHðˆÐ P ÐÌDr.€Samir€Badri€of€the€Arizona€DEQ€has€completed€the€revision€to€the€Integrated€Assessment€SystemÐ ð0 Ð(IAS)€projections€model,€and€this€date€he€gave€a€demonstration€of€the€capabilities€of€the€new€version.€Ð à  ÐHe€noted€that€the€original€IAS€was€constructed€by€the€Assessment€Committee€in€1995,€as€part€of€theÐ Ð  ÐGCVTC€work.€€It€contains€EI€information€from€12€states€(11€WRAP€&€Texas),€Canada€and€Mexico.€Ð À!  ÐFunctions€of€the€model€are:Ð °"ð! ÐÌ„à0 ° àProject€Emissions€(using€transfer€coefficients)Ð$Ð #°T$°T$ Єà0 ° àDetermine€Control€CostsЀ%À!$°T$°T$ Єà0 ° àMake€Visibility€Assessment€at€a€Desired€ReceptorÐp&°"%°T$°T$ ÐÌDr.€Badri€noted€that€the€1995€version€back€end€was€constructed€in€MS€Access,€with€over€160€tables,Ð P($' Ðeach€having€10„45,000€records.€€The€tables€were€not€relational,€multiple€languages€were€used,€and€thereÐ @)€%( Ðwere€multiple€files.111Ð 0*p&) ÐÌThe€new€back€end€is€constructed€using€SQL€client€server,€with€relational€tables.€€It€uses€only€oneÐ ,P(+ Ðlanguage,€and€one€file€can€produce€many€queries.Ð -@), ÐÐ ð-0*- ÐOn€Dr.€Badri's€"to€do"€list€is€to€incorporate€GIS€function€into€the€model,€and€to€insert€the€economicÐ À Ðanalysis€piece.€€Then€he€will€contact€Mr.€Gribovicz€when€it€is€functional€on€a€planned€website,€so€thatÐ °ð Ðmembers€can€utilize€the€model€in€place.Ð  à ÐÌThere€was€brief€discussion€about€the€original€contract,€that€had€been€issued€to€Shawn€Kendall€for€$24K.€Ð €À ÐIt€was€decided€that€Pat€Cummins€and€Mike€George€will€negotiate€a€final€settlement€for€this€contract€andÐ p° Ðinform€the€EF€Co„Chairs€as€to€what€portion€of€that€contract€will€be€paid€out€(if€any).Ð `   ÐÌÔ& À Ôà@ÜÜìàðHð€Clean€Air€Corridors€€ðHðˆÐ @ € ÐÌLee€Gribovicz€noted€that€the€Emission€Forum€was€requested€to€produce€some€emission€density€maps€toÐ  `  Ðgraphically€demonstrate€the€differences€in€emission€rates€produced€by€urban€areas€included€in€the€AprilÔ'À@ ìúÔÐ P  Ð'01€proposal€for€the€Clean€Air€Corridors€that€had€been€prepared€by€Marc€Pitchford.€€The€proposalÐ @  Ðshowed€an€area€encompassing€the€majority€of€Utah€and€Nevada,€large€portions€of€southern€Idaho€andÐ ð0  Ðwestern€Oregon,€with€smaller€pieces€of€southeast€Washington,€northeast€California€and€northern€ArizonaÐ à  Ðalso€included.€€Notably€it€also€included€Salt€Lake€City.Ð Ð ÐÌThe€maps€were€produced€by€Dr.€Gail€Tonneson€at€the€RMC,€and€were€delivered€to€the€IOC€at€theirÐ °ð ÐDecember€San€Diego€meeting.€€Utah€Administrator,€Rick€Sprott,€was€charged€with€Chairing€aÐ  à Ðworkgroup€on€CAC's,€to€determine€more€fully€what€the€impact€was€of€an€area€being€included€in€a€CleanÐ Ð ÐAir€Corridor.Ð €À ÐÌTo€assure€that€all€Emission€Forum€members€had€a€chance€to€review€these€emission€density€maps,€LeeÐ `  ÐGribovicz€was€asked€to€send€the€files€out€by€E„Mail.Ð P ÐÌBrock€LeBaron€still€was€of€the€opinion€that€we€update€the€emission€corridor€technical€analysis,€and€itÐ 0p Ðwas€suggested€that€the€point€should€be€debated€at€the€next€TOC€meeting.Ð  ` ÐÌà@&ìàðHð€RPO's€ðHðˆÐ @ ÐÌRegarding€RPO's,€Lee€Gribovicz€noted€that€there€had€been€a€follow„up€meeting€of€TechnicalÐ à  ÐRepresentatives€from€the€five€RPO's€(WRAP,€LADCO,€MANE„VU,€CENRAP€and€VISTAS)€held€in€St.Ð Ð  ÐLouis€November€27„28,€2001.€€Again€there€was€a€general€call€for€cooperation€across€organizationalÐ À!  Ðboundaries,€with€the€most€critical€aspect€affecting€the€Emission€Forum€being€the€call€for€inter„RPOÐ °"ð! Ðaccess€to€emissions€data,€and€sharing€of€mutual€tasks€such€as€the€pollutant€speciation€work€mentionedÐ  #à" Ðearlier.Ð $Ð # ÐÌPat€Cummins€noted€that€he€will€meet€next€week€with€other€RPO€managers€at€a€session€in€NorthÐ p&°"% ÐCarolina.€Ð `' #& ÐÌà@AAìàðHð€Emission€Forum€Budget€ðHðˆÐ @)€%( ÐÌLee€Gribovicz€distributed€the€October€'01€WRAP€Financial€Status€Report€that€contains€details€of€theÐ  +`'* Ð$455,000€budget€approved€for€the€Emission€Forum€in€2002.Ð ,P(+ Ðâ âÐ -@), ÐPat€Cummins€reported€that€òòcurrently€remaining€in€the€budgetóó,€the€Emission€Forum€has€òò$85Kóó€for€EIÐ À Ðâ âImprovement,€òò$125Kóó€for€dust€inventory€work€and€òò$120Kóó€for€the€EI€database€development.€€With€theÐ °ð Ðextra€$40K€applied€to€the€database,€and€about€$30K€used€for€additional€costs€associated€with€the€1996Ð  à Ðinventory€and€the€2018€projections,€that€leaves€about€òò$55Kóó€left€in€the€budget€for€EI€guidance.Ð Ð ÐÌòòò òAlready€spentó óóó€is€the€òòò ò$10Kó óóó€for€the€Y2K€Stationary€Source€SOòò2óó€Inventory,€òòò ò$30Kó óóó€for€the€1996€InventoryÐ p° ÐQA€effort,€about€òòò ò$5Kó óóó€for€additional€1996€Inventory€work,€and€about€òòò ò$25Kó óóó€for€additional€2018Ð `   Ðprojections€work.€Ð P  ÐÌPat€noted€that€we'll€start€talking€about€next€years€budget€later€in€the€Spring€of€2002.Ð 0 p  ÐÌÔ& À Ôà@ìì"ìàðHð€Next€Meeting€ðHðˆÐ P  ÐÌIt€was€suggested€that€the€next€meeting€needed€to€be€a€co„meeting€with€the€Modeling€Forum€if€possible,Ð ð0  Ðin€order€to€get€a€first€hand€review€of€the€work€Ô'À Ôprior€to€the€May€"All€Comers"€meeting.€€It€was€suggestedÐ à  Ðthat€this€should€be€set€up€sometime€during€the€last€week€in€April.Ð Ð ÐÌà@  "ìàðHð€Action€Items€ðHðˆÐ °ð ÐÌAt€the€close€of€the€meeting€the€list€of€Emission€Forum€action€items€included:Ð Ð ÐÓ°r°Ü°ÓÌ1.à0 F àBy€mid„February,€the€states€will€respond€to€Pechan's€January€'02€E„Mail€with€corrections€toÐ p° Ðspreadsheets€documenting€errors€found€in€the€WRAP€1996€Point€Source€Emission€Inventory.Ð` FT$FT$ ÐÌ2.à0 F àPat€Cummins€&€Lee€Gribovicz€will€task€the€new€staff€person€hired€to€fill€the€new€WRAPÐ @€ ÐTechnical€Support€position€with€reviewing€the€Emission€Forum's€EI€guidance€concern€and€helpingÐ 0p Ðprepare€a€plan€which€coordinates€the€EF€and€tribal€effort.Ð `FT$FT$ ÐÌ3.à0 F àPechan€will€complete€the€DRAFT€report€of€the€Year€2000€Stationary€Source€SOòò2óó€Inventory€byÐ @ ÐFebruary€8òòthóó.Ðð0FT$FT$ ÐÌ4.à0 F àFor€2018€Projections,€Pechan€will€complete€the€revised€Base€Case€EI€by€February€5òòthóó,€with€theÐ Ð  Ðadditional€control€and€BART€scenarios€completed€by€the€end€of€February€'02.€€Depending€onÐ À!  Ðdelivery€of€the€"least€cost"€RE/EE€model€runs€from€ICF,€Pechan€will€complete€the€P2€EI€by€theÐ °"ð! Ðfirst€part€of€March€'02.Р#à"FT$FT$ ÐÌ5.à0 F àPechan€will€add€other€pollutants€to€SOòò2óó,€NOòòxóó€and€PM€in€their€forecasting€report,€such€that€the€finalÐ €%À!$ Ð2018€projections€will€include€the€full€suite€of€visibility€impairing€pollutants€(SOòò2óó,€NOòòxóó,€PMòò10óó,Ð p&°"% ÐPMòò2.5óó€VOC,€CO€&€NHòò3óó).€€Also€Pechan€was€asked€to€include€in€the€final€report,€the€full€sourceÐ `' #& Ðcategory€breakdown€(utility,€copper,€other€industry)€for€all€states,€that€had€been€in€the€initial€draftÐ P($' Ðfor€the€WRAP€states.€€Besides€the€report€itself,€Pechan€will€provide€EXCEL€copies€of€theÐ @)€%( Ðspreadsheet€tables€in€the€report.€€The€actual€files€will€be€sent€just€to€MCNC€for€modeling€and€beÐ 0*p&) Ðarchived€at€Pechan,€rather€than€submitted€with€the€contract€work€product.Ð +`'*FT$FT$ ÐÌ6.à0 F àLee€Gribovicz€will€see€that€the€current€Pechan€2018€Base€Case€DRAFT€Report€will€be€posted€onÐ -@), Ðthe€WRAP€web€page,€with€comments€due€back€by€February€15òòthóó.Ðð-0*-FT$FT$ Ї7.à0 F àThe€trilateral€"Commission€for€Environmental€Cooperation"€from€the€U.S.,€Canada€and€Mexico€areÐ À Ðworking€on€development€of€a€North€American€Emission€Inventory,€while€the€WGA€is€workingÐ °ð Ðdirectly€with€Mexico€for€a€border€Emission€Inventory.€€Lee€Gribovicz€will€ask€the€TOC€to€beginÐ  à Ðdiscussions€on€how€the€WRAP€should€participate€in€these€international€efforts.ÐÐFT$FT$ ÐÌ8.à0 F àBrock€LeBaron€will€prepare€a€DRAFT€RFP€for€a€$75K€budget€expenditure€to€improve€theÐ p° Ðtemporal/spatial€allocation€and€speciation€profiles€of€the€WRAP€Emission€Inventories.Ð`  FT$FT$ ÐÌ9.à0 F àBill€Fishback€will€obtain€the€results€of€the€UCR€Regional€Modeling€Center€€NHòò3óó€Sensitivity€modelÐ @ € Ðruns,€and€evaluate€those€results€for€a€report€at€the€next€Emission€Forum€meeting.€€The€report€willÐ 0 p  Ðdefine€how€sensitive€is€regional€haze€modeling€to€NHòò3óó€emission€input,€and€what€can€the€EmissionÐ  `  ÐForum€due€with€its€$10K€budget€line€item€to€improve€NHòò3óó€emission€inventories.ÐP FT$FT$ ÐÌ10.à0 F àCarrie€MacDougall€will€prepare€a€DRAFT€RFP€for€a€$125K€budget€expenditure€to€calculate€aÐ ð0  Ðwind€erosion€dust€emission€inventory€for€the€22€state€region€of€the€WRAP€Modeling€Domain.€€LeeÐ à  ÐGribovicz€will€circulate€that€DRAFT€to€EF€Members€for€final€comment€prior€to€seeking€contractorÐ Ð Ðbids€on€the€project.ÐÀFT$FT$ ÐÌ11.à0 F àMike€Sundblom€and€Steve€Aalbers€will€prepare€a€DRAFT€RFP€for€a€$120K€budget€expenditure€toÐ  à Ðdevelop€a€WRAP€Regional€Emission€Inventory€Database€System.€€Lee€Gribovicz€will€circulateÐ Ð Ðthat€DRAFT€to€EF€Members€for€final€comment€prior€to€seeking€contractor€bids€on€the€project.ЀÀFT$FT$ ÐÌ12.à0 F àLee€Gribovicz€will€investigate€an€agreement€with€EPA€whereby€the€WRAP€may€submit€emissionÐ `  Ðinventories€to€the€NEI€in€lieu€of€the€WRAP€member€states€to€eliminate€the€duplicity€of€state€EIÐ P Ðsubmittals€to€both€WRAP€&€EPA.Ð@€FT$FT$ ÐÌ13.à0 F àSamir€Badri€will€complete€his€revision€to€the€IAS€model€and€post€it€for€general€use€on€the€Internet.€Ð  ` ÐLee€Gribovicz€will€distribute€the€location€information€once€this€IAS€revision€is€complete€&€posted.ÐPFT$FT$ ÐÌ14.à0 F àPat€Cummins€&€Mike€George€will€negotiate€a€final€settlement€for€partial€payment€on€ShawnÐ ð0 ÐKendall's€IAS€Re„Engineering€Contract.Ðà FT$FT$ ÐÌ15.à0 F àLee€Gribovicz€will€distribute€the€Clean€Air€Corridor€Emission€Density€Maps€to€the€EmissionÐ À!  ÐForum€interest€list.а"ð!FT$FT$ ÐÌ16.à0 F àLee€Gribovicz€will€discuss€setting€a€joint€meeting€between€the€Modeling€and€Emission€Forums€inÐ $Ð # Ðlate€April€2002.