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UhCEKQW]cioAutoList31.1.1.1.1.1.1.1.(Oé;$µµà0  àÔ2#ÔÚ  ÚaÚ  Ú.Ô3  Ôà0` (#(#à(ehCEKQW]cioAutoList41.1.1.1.1.1.1.1. uhCEKQW]cioAutoList51.1.1.1.1.1.1.1. i)Page ù of &ù¾6Times New Roman Regular(@hÐ Z‹*Dutch801 ItHd BT <4šÛ 9Z+‹ Courier New Ý ƒ!ÝÝ  ÝÔ_ÔÑ  ÑÔ  ÔÑX°ÑÑ€ÑÑ8€Î »»ddÈ8ÑÒ„°ÒÒ„°ÒÑÀ°ÑÑ  Ñà@ìàà@@#ìàòòò òÔ‡î·îXXÔòòFinalóó€€Meeting€MinutesÔ#†Xÿ Xîî·ø#Ôó óóóˆÐ À Ðà@óóìàWRAP€EMISSIONS€FORUM€/€à@@  ìàEMISSION€INVENTORY€WORK€GROUPˆÐ ä$ Ðà@  ìàMay€14„15òòthóó,€2001€@€Spokane,€WashingtonˆÐ Ð ÐÌThe€Emissions€Forum€and€Emission€Inventory€Work€Group€convened€in€Spokane,€Washington€at€1:00Ð ¨è ÐPM€on€May€14òòthóó€and€met€through€May€15,€2001€at€3:00€PM..€€Attendees€included:Ð ”Ô ÐÌÒ(ñK”„T$„T$(Òà@ ü àÔ‡Xœ‡ XXXÿ ÔòòNameóóÔ#†Xÿ X XXœ‡K#ԈРl ¬ ÐÔ‡Xç[ XXXÿ ÔLee€Gribovicz,€EF€Co„Chair€....Ð \ œ ÐDennis€Schwehr,€EF€Co„Chair€...Ð 2 r  ÐBill€Fishback,€EF€Member€......Ð  H  ÐBrock€LeBaron,€EF€Member€......Ð Þ   ÐRoy€Doyle,€EIWG€Member€........Ð ´ô  ÐAaron€Worstell,€EF€Member€.....Ð ŠÊ  ÐRoger€Turner,€EF€Member€.......Ð `   ÐWayne€Leipold,€EF€Member€......Ð 6v  ÐCarrie€MacDougall,€EF€Member€..Ð  L ÐMike€George,€TOC€Co„Chair€.....Ô#†Xÿ X XXç[­#ÔÐ â" Ðà@5ŠàÔ‡Xœ‡ XXXÿ ÔòòAffiliationóóÔ#†Xÿ X XXœ‡ #ԈРl ¬ ÐÔ‡Xç[ XXXÿ ÔWyoming€DEQ,€Air€Quality€DivisionÐ \ œ ÐWEST€AssociatesÐ 2 r ÐExxon„Mobile€Oil€CompanyÐ  H  ÐUtah€DEQ,€Air€Quality€DivisionÐ Þ   ÐColorado€Health€Dept./Air€QualityÐ ´ô  ÐNatl.€Park€Service/Air€Resources€Div.Ð ŠÊ  ÐShoshone„Bannock€TribesÐ `   ÐPhelps€Dodge€Copper€CompanyÐ 6v  ÐClark€County€(NV)€Air€ResourcesÐ  L ÐArizona€DEQ,€Air€Quality€DivisionÐ â" ÐÔ#†Xÿ X XXç[r#ÔÒ(ñK”„u„u(Òà@#ìàòòMeeting€SummaryóóˆÐ ŽÎ ÐÌThe€three€major€òò"short€term"óó€products€from€the€Emission€Forum€are:Ð f¦ ÐÌÓ „é°œXÓà  à„à é àthe€1996€Base€Year€WRAP€Region€Emission€InventoryÐ >~ Ðà  à„à é àthe€2018€Base€Case€WRAP€Region€Emission€Inventory€ProjectionÐ *j  Ðà  à„à é àthe€2018€Control€Case€WRAP€Region€Emission€Inventory€ProjectionsÐ V! ÐÌThe€three€major€òò"long€term"óó€issues€to€be€addressed€by€the€Emission€Forum€are:Ð î.# ÐÌà  à„à é àWRAP€Region€Emission€Inventory€Database€DevelopmentÐ Æ% Ðà  à„à é àWRAP€Region€Emission€Inventory€Preparation€GuidanceÐ ²ò& Ðà  à„à é àWRAP€Region€Emission€Inventory€ImprovementsÐ žÞ' ÐÌAt€this€meeting€the€forum€discussed€preliminary€results€of€the€1996€Base€Year€Emission€Inventory€forÐ v!¶) Ðthe€WRAP€Region,€as€compiled€by€the€contractor,€PES€(Mark€Saeger,€Project€Manager).€€ConcernsÐ b"¢* Ðregarding€the€accuracy€of€some€of€the€point€source€data€was€expressed€by€some€stakeholders,€and€it€wasÐ N#Ž+ Ðdecided€that€a€final€effort€would€be€made€to€allow€States/Tribes€to€review€the€data€for€corrections.€€OtherÐ :$z , Ðissues€were€discussed€regarding€this€'96€WRAP€inventory,€including:€€fugitive€dust€concerns,€biogenicÐ &%f!- Ðemissions,€Canadian€emission€data,€final€state€point€source€data,€2òòndóó€tier€of€Great€Plains€states€emissions,Ð &R". Ðand€Mexican€emission€data.Ð þ&>#/ ÐÌRegarding€the€2018€emission€inventory€projections,€the€status€of€two€Request€for€Proposal's€(Ô_ÔRFPÔ_Ô's)€wasÐ Ö(%1 Ðpresented.€€The€first€project€will€be€to€obtain€ò òòòEconomic€and€Population€Growth€Factorsóóó ó€to€utilize€inÐ Â)&2 Ðprojecting€the€1996€base€year€inventory€forward€to€2018.€€This€Economics/Population€Ô_ÔRFPÔ_Ô€wasÐ ®*î&3 Ðpublished€April€27òòthóó,€with€contract€issuance€targeted€for€early€June,€2001.Ð š+Ú'4 ÐÌThe€second€project€will€compile€the€necessary€data€and€complete€the€òòò ò2018€Emission€Projectionsó óóó€for€twoÐ r-²)6 Ðscenarios:€the€2018€Base€Case€and€the€2018€Control€Case.€€The€Ô_ÔRFPÔ_Ô€tasks€will€include:€1)€identifyingÐ ^.ž*7 Ðexisting€major€point€sources€in€WRAP€states€that€were€not€originally€part€of€the€GCVTC€"transportÐ À Ðregion"€(WA,€MT,€ND€&€SD),€with€start€up€date€and€existing€pollution€control€levels€for€those€sources;Ð ¬ì Ð2)€developing€a€"new€source€profile"€for€pollution€control€equipment/efficiency€in€various€sourceÐ ˜Ø Ðcategories;€3)€developing€retirement€factors€for€source€categories€in€the€thirteen€state€WRAP€RegionÐ „Ä Ð(AZ,€CA,€CO,€ID,€€MT,€ND,€NM,€NV,€OR,€SD,€UT,€WA€&€WY);€4)€defining€existing€national,€state,Ð p° Ðlocal€&€tribal€air€quality€regulations€that€will€be€implemented€through€2018€to€control€emissions€fromÐ \œ Ðexisting€area€and€point€sources;€5)€identifying€additional€retrofit€control€options,€costs€and€efficienciesÐ H ˆ Ðfor€existing€area€and€point€sources;€6)€combining€the€economic€and€population€growth€information€fromÐ 4 t Ðthe€first€contract€into€òòemission€growth€factorsóó€that€will€be€used€in€the€Integrated€Assessment€SystemÐ  ` Ð(IAS)€model€to€project€2018€emissions;€and€7)€running€the€IAS€model€with€the€growth,€retirement€andÐ  L  Ðcontrol€information€to€obtain€the€two€2018€emission€inventory€projections€(base€&€control€cases).€Ð ø 8  ÐOptions€were€requested€for€the€cost€to€include€the€1òòstóó€tier€of€adjacent€Great€Plains€States€(NB,€KA,€OK€&Ð ä $  ÐTX),€and€separately€to€include€the€2òòndóó€tier€of€Great€Plains€States€(MN,€IA,€MO,€AK€&€LA)€in€the€aboveÐ Ð  Ðtasks.€€This€Emissions€Projections€Ô_ÔRFPÔ_Ô€was€published€May€7òòthóó,€with€contract€issuance€targeted€for€lateÐ ¼ü  ÐJune,€2001.Ð ¨è  ÐÌRegarding€the€òò"long€term"óó€activities€of€the€Emission€Forum,€a€draft€budget€was€crafted€to€provideÐ €À Ðfunding€for€these€activities.€€The€budget€targeted€2001€spending€of€about€$70K€for€database€activities,Ð l¬ Ð$125K€for€EI€guidance€and€about€$210K€for€EI€improvements.Ð X˜ ÐÌThe€Forum€also€reviewed€the€final€Emission€Inventory€Preparation€Survey€Report,€recommendingÐ 0p Ðdistribution€to€WRAP€modelers€and€WESTAR€to€help€guide€their€activities€as€they€relate€to€emissionÐ \ Ðinventories.€€A€status€report€was€made€on€the€progress€of€the€IAS€Re„Engineering€contracts€(completeÐ H Ðthe€end€of€May€'01),€and€other€inventory€related€issues€such€as€compiling€the€Year€2000€stationaryÐ ô4 Ðsource€SOòò2óó€inventory€for€comparison€against€the€GCVTC€13%€reduction€projection,€and€possibleÐ à  Ðexpansion€of€the€market€trading€program€to€other€pollutants€(NOòòxóó€&€PM).Ð Ì  ÐÌà@ll#ìàòòMeeting€DetailsóóˆÐ ¤ä ÐÌà@ss"ìàðHð€Announcements€ðHðˆÐ |¼ ÐÌMike€George€announced€the€meeting€of€the€Technical€Oversight€Committee€and€the€Technical€Co„Ð T ” ÐChairs€to€be€held€July€16„18òòthóó€for€the€purpose€of€assessing€the€progress€of€the€technical€forumsÐ @!€  Ðimplementation€of€the€ðð309€RHR€Annex,€planning€activities€for€the€balance€of€2001,€and€creating€theÐ ,"l! ÐTechnical€Budget€for€the€next€fiscal€year.Ð #X" ÐÌBrock€Ô_ÔLeBaronÔ_Ô€noted€that€the€"Jump€Start"€modeling€contractor€was€having€problems€obtaining€theÐ ð$0!$ Ðupdated€MOBILE€6€model€for€use€in€the€WRAP€modeling.€€The€EPA€has€not€yet€released€version€6€toÐ Ü%"% Ðthe€public,€but€has€only€provided€a€"beta€version"€for€the€states€to€review.€€Mr.€Ô_ÔLeBaronÔ_Ô€was€to€contactÐ È&#& Ðthe€Mobile€Sources€Co„Chair,€John€Kowalczyk,€to€try€to€facilitate€the€release€of€the€update€to€Ô_ÔMCNCÔ_Ô.Ð ´'ô#' ÐÌTwo€new€Emission€Forum€members€were€attending€their€first€meeting;€Aaron€Ô_ÔWorstellÔ_Ô€of€the€NationalÐ Œ)Ì%) ÐPark€Service€Air€Resources€Division,€replacing€Don€Ô_ÔSheperdÔ_Ô;€and€Carrie€Ô_ÔMacDougallÔ_Ô€representing€ClarkÐ x*¸&* ÐCounty,€Nevada€(Las€Vegas).€€Ms.€Ô_ÔMacDougallÔ_Ô€explained€that€Clark€County€was€merging€their€PlanningÐ d+¤'+ Ðand€Air€Quality€functions,€and€that€she€would€take€over€management€of€the€Air€Quality€program€aroundÐ P,(, Ðthe€first€of€June.Ð <-|)- ÐÐ (.h*. Ðà@c c ìàðHð€1996€Baseline€WRAP€Emission€Inventory€ðHðˆÐ À ÐÌThe€Emission€Forum€has€a€$60,000€contract€with€Pacific€Environmental€Services€(PES€Project€Manager;Ð ˜Ø ÐMark€Saeger)€to€compile€the€1996€WRAP€region€base€year€emission€inventory,€utilizing€the€EPA's€1996Ð „Ä ÐNET€as€the€initial€basis€for€this€inventory.€€PES€augmented€and€updated€the€NET€with€informationÐ p° Ðsolicited€directly€from€the€WRAP€region€states.Ð \œ ÐÌThe€preliminary€1996€Emission€Inventory€compiled€by€PES€for€the€13€state€WRAP€Region€(AZ,€CA,Ð 4 t ÐCO,€ID,€€MT,€ND,€NM,€NV,€OR,€SD,€UT,€WA€&€WY)€and€for€the€four€Great€Plains€states€bordering€theÐ  ` ÐWRAP€(NB,€KA,€OK€&€TX);€is€currently€available€for€downloading€at€the€WRAP€websiteÐ  L  Ð(http://www.wrapair.org),€on€the€ò òEmission€Forumó ó€page€of€the€ò ò"Committees€and€Forums"ó ó€section€ofÐ ø 8  Ðthe€site.€Summaries€of€this€data€have€been€made€in€EXCEL€spreadsheet€format;€broken€down€into€totalÐ è (  Ðemissions€by€state,€and€then€further€broken€down€into€summaries€of€the€emissions€for€each€county€withinÐ Ô  Ðthe€state.€€These€EXCEL€spreadsheets€are€also€available€on€the€WRAP€website.Ð À  ÐÌThese€EXCEL€spreadsheets€had€been€sent€out€to€Emission€Forum€members€for€review€(5/10/01€E„Mail),Ð ˜Ø  Ðand€several€stakeholders€have€expressed€concern€that€they€have€detected€problems€with€these€'96Ð „Ä Ðinventory€compilations.€€Wayne€Leipold€felt€that€the€total€SOòò2óó€from€Ô_ÔPinalÔ_Ô€and€Gila€counties€in€ArizonaÐ p° Ðshould€total€to€about€8,000€tons€more€for€three€copper€smelters€located€in€these€counties,€than€reflectedÐ \œ Ðin€the€inventory€summary.€€He€also€noted€concern€that€the€1996€SOòò2óó€emissions€from€the€Hidalgo€SmelterÐ Hˆ Ðin€New€Mexico€were€about€1,800€tons€low.€€CV€Mathai€was€concerned€with€the€Navajo€power€plant€SOòò2óóÐ 4t Ðemissions,€which€Arizona€forum€participants€agreed€should€be€closer€to€70„80,000€tons.€€Sally€OttersonÐ  ` Ðreported€that€Washington€couldn't€provide€some€point€source€data€from€some€counties€in€the€eastern€halfÐ  L Ðof€the€state,€because€there€was€no€segment€level€information.Ð ø8 ÐÌIt€was€noted€that€any€corrections€must€go€through€the€states,€therefore€stakeholders€must€work€closelyÐ Ð Ðwith€state€EI€personnel€to€correct€any€errors€they€find.€€It€was€decided€that€Mike€George€will€contactÐ ¼ü ÐMark€Saeger€of€PES€to€send€out€the€inventories€to€the€state€EI€personnel€for€one€last€round€of€comment.€Ð ¨è ÐA€deadline€was€set€for€June€8òòthóó,€to€get€responses€back€from€the€states.Ð ”Ô ÐÌBrock€Ô_ÔLeBaronÔ_Ô€was€looking€at€modeling€schedule€and€noted€that€Ô_ÔREMSADÔ_Ô€model€performanceÐ l¬ Ðevaluations€are€scheduled€for€July.€€He€felt€that€the€Ô_ÔEFÔ_Ô€needed€to€communicate€with€the€"Jump€Start"Ð X ˜ Ðcontractor,€Marc€Houxyoux€of€Ô_ÔMCNCÔ_Ô,€and€with€Gail€Tonnesen,€the€Program€Manager€for€the€RegionalÐ D!„  ÐModeling€Center€(Ô_ÔRMCÔ_Ô)€at€UC„Riverside,€to€make€sure€that€they€were€aware€of€the€progress€of€theÐ 0"p! Ðemission€inventory€development.€€He€agreed€to€make€contact€with€these€contractors€to€assureÐ #\" Ðcoordination€on€the€WRAP€technical€modeling€effort.Ð $H # ÐÌA€deadline€of€June€15òòthóó€was€set€for€final€comment€on€this€1996€inventory.Ð à% "% ÐÌà@——ìàðHð€'96€EI€Issues:€€Fugitive€Dust€ðHðˆÐ ¸'ø#' ÐÌLast€Fall,€the€WRAP€gathered€an€expert€panel€to€assess€problems€with€fugitive€dust€emissionÐ )Ð%) Ðinventories,€especially€with€regard€to€windblown€soil€erosion,€and€fugitive€dust€from€paved€and€unpavedÐ |*¼&* Ðroads.€€That€expert€panel€conducted€a€December€'00€workshop€for€public€review€of€their€findings,€andÐ h+¨'+ Ðthe€"Draft€Final€Report"€of€that€workshop,€along€with€a€two€page€summary€of€their€eleven€findings,€areÐ T,”(, Ðnow€both€available€for€downloading€on€the€WRAP€website.€Ð @-€)- ÐÐ ,.l*. ÐThe€EPA€has€constructed€simple€maps€of€the€paved€and€unpaved€road€dust€components€of€the€1996Ð À ÐNET,€and€found€that€these€data€show€stark€demarcation€of€western€state€boundaries.€€This€indicates€thatÐ ¬ì Ðthere€is€substantial€variability€in€the€way€these€dust€components€are€derived,€with€speculation€that€theÐ ˜Ø Ðactivity€data€is€very€inconsistent.€€Also,€there€is€skepticism€as€to€how€much€of€this€dust€rises€high€enoughÐ „Ä Ðin€the€atmosphere€to€avoid€surface€level€removal€mechanisms€(ie/€impaction,€deposition)€and€actualÐ p° Ðparticipate€in€regional€transport.Ð \œ ÐÌBecause€confidence€in€these€fugitive€dust€emission€numbers€has€waned,€the€decision€was€made€toÐ 4 t Ðtemporarily€"zero€out"€these€fugitive€dust€estimates€in€the€WRAP€'96€Base€Inventory,€pending€a€decisionÐ  ` Ðon€how€best€to€represent€the€dust€components€of€the€inventory.€€The€TOC€established€a€Workgroup€(theÐ  L  Ð"Dirt€Forum"),€headed€by€Co„Chairs€John€Kowalczyk€of€the€Mobile€Sources€Forum€and€Marc€ScruggsÐ ø 8  Ðof€the€Research€&€Development€Forum,€with€their€charge€being€to€explore€the€problem€in€more€depthÐ ä $  Ðand€make€recommendations€as€to€what€strategy€the€WRAP€should€use€in€the€short€term€to€fill€this€dataÐ Ð  Ðgap.€€For€the€Emission€Forum,€Brock€Ô_ÔLeBaronÔ_Ô,€Wayne€Leipold€and€Sally€Otterson€had€already€taken€theÐ ¼ü  Ðtask€of€reviewing€last€Fall's€fugitive€dust€report,€therefore€they€were€asked€to€participate€in€this€TOCÐ ¨è  Ðworkgroup.€€New€Ô_ÔEFÔ_Ô€member€Carrie€Ô_ÔMacDougallÔ_Ô€also€brings€a€significant€level€of€expertise€on€fugitiveÐ ”Ô  Ðdust,€having€experience€with€wind€tunnel€studies€and€PM€non„attainment€SIP's€in€the€Las€Vegas€desertÐ €À Ðarea.€€Therefore,€she€agreed€to€be€added€to€the€Dirt€Forum€participant€list.Ð l¬ ÐÌIn€looking€at€the€problem,€it€was€noted€that€other€organizations€were€also€concerned€with€andÐ D„ Ðinvestigating€fugitive€dust€issues,€therefore€a€May€7òòthóó€telephone€conference€call€was€held€to€coordinateÐ 0p ÐWRAP€activities€with€the€EPA€and€WESTAR.€€A€summary€of€that€call€was€prepared€by€Mr.€Kowalczyk,Ð \ Ðand€is€now€available€on€the€WRAP€website.Ð H ÐÌIn€discussion€of€the€status€of€this€issue,€it€was€noted€that€because€the€Mobile€Sources€and€R&D€ForumsÐ à  Ðare€leading€the€evaluation€effort,€there€wasn't€anything€specific€that€the€Emission€Forum€could€do,€otherÐ Ì  Ðthan€communicate€our€sense€of€urgency€that€this€issue€must€be€resolved€prior€to€the€mid„July€date€forÐ ¸ø Ðfinalizing€the€1996€Base€Year€inventory.€€It€was€noted€that€Wayne€Leipold€and€Doug€Ô_ÔLatimerÔ_Ô€are€theÐ ¤ä ÐTOC€liaisons€to€the€Emission€Forum,€and€that€communications€between€forums€should€go€through€theseÐ Ð Ðliaisons.€€With€Wayne€and€TOC€Co„Chair€Mike€George€present,€they€agreed€attempt€to€expedite€theÐ |¼ Ðprocess€of€the€Dirt€Forum.Ð h¨ ÐÌà@ ìàðHð€'96€EI€Issues:€€Biogenic€Emissions€ðHðˆÐ @!€  ÐÌAt€the€March€'01€Technical€Co„Chairs/TOC€meeting,€the€Modeling€Forum€noted€that€the€SMOKEÐ #X" Ðemissions€data€pre„processor€has€a€BEIS€module€capable€of€calculating€biogenic€emissions€as€part€of€theÐ $D # ÐWRAP€modeling.€€It€was€suggested€that€it€might€be€more€consistent€to€utilize€these€uniformly€compiledÐ ð$0!$ Ðbiogenic€emissions,€however€there€was€concern€that€there€might€state/tribal€objection€to€supplanting€theÐ Ü%"% Ðbiogenic€category€with€the€SMOKE€results,€if€these€agencies€had€indeed€supplied€locally€derivedÐ È&#& Ðbiogenic€emission€data€to€PES.Ð ´'ô#' ÐÌBrock€Ô_ÔLeBaronÔ_Ô€suggested€that€biogenic€data€is€all€pretty€universally€obtained€from€some€variation€of€theÐ Œ)Ì%) ÐBEIS€model,€and€that€the€chance€of€strong€objection€was€minimal.€€Therefore€a€May€10òòthóó€E„Mail€wasÐ x*¸&* Ðsent€to€the€WRAP€State€Agency€Directors,€tribal€representatives,€and€EI€personnel€to€request€commentÐ d+¤'+ Ðon€the€WRAP's€proposal€to€go€with€a€regional€approach€for€this€biogenic€source€category€(attached€underÐ P,(, ÐAppendix€VI),€with€a€response€requested€by€May€31òòstóó.Ð <-|)- ÐÐ (.h*. ÐThis€date,€it€was€noted€that€California€might€have€provided€their€own€biogenics€estimations€from€theirÐ À Ðmodel€(Ô_ÔBIOMEÔ_Ô),€but€not€many€others€were€likely€to€have€anything€but€BEIS€based€calculations.€€It€wasÐ ¬ì Ðdecided€that€the€Emission€Forum€must€take€a€"wait€&€see"€stance,€whether€the€state/tribal€jurisdictionsÐ ˜Ø Ðrespond€favorably€to€this€proposal.Ð „Ä ÐÌà@‹ ‹ ìàðHð€'96€EI€Issues:€€Canadian€Emissions€ðHðˆÐ \œ ÐÌIt€was€noted€that€Canadian€law€had€some€confidentiality€provisions€which€restricted€the€distribution€ofÐ 4 t Ðpoint€source€emission€data.€€As€of€this€meeting.€€The€EPA's€Greg€Stella€was€working€on€obtainingÐ  ` ÐCanadian€data,€but€no€one€present€at€this€meeting€had€any€further€information€on€the€status€of€theÐ  L  Ðnegotiations.€€Wayne€Leipold€had€suggested€that€if€only€province€or€grid€wide€emissions€totals€could€beÐ ø 8  Ðobtained,€it€would€be€possible€to€treat€the€data€as€area€sources,€or€model€the€whole€Canadian€sector€asÐ ä $  Ðsome€type€of€"boundary€condition".Ð Ð  ÐÌIt€was€agreed€that€Lee€Gribovicz€would€contact€Mr.€Stella€(and€Mark€Saeger)€on€the€status€of€theÐ ¨è  Ðemissions€talks,€while€Brock€Ô_ÔLeBaronÔ_Ô€would€talk€to€Marc€Houxyoux,€to€see€what€the€modelers€suggest€ifÐ ”Ô  Ðwe€don't€get€direct€emissions€from€Canada.€€It€was€agreed€that€the€bottom€line€was€that€we€needed€toÐ €À Ðhave€something€representing€this€emission€regime,€and€that€quite€possibly€the€WRAP€might€have€toÐ l¬ Ðadopt€whatever€method€the€EPA€used€for€their€national€modeling.Ð X˜ ÐÌIt€was€also€determined€to€be€prudent€to€go€to€the€border€states€(WA,€ID,€MT€&€ND)€to€ask€if€they€knowÐ 0p Ðof€big€point€sources€or€anything€else€they€think€is€important€to€emission€inventories€in€British€Columbia,Ð \ ÐAlberta,€Saskatchewan€and€Manitoba.€€Lee€Gribovicz€will€make€contact€with€these€northern€tier€states€onÐ H Ðthis€issue.Ð ô4 ÐÌOther€ideas€expressed€was€that€we€might€simply€apply€some€sort€of€emission€factor€based€on€population,Ð Ì  Ðassuming€that€Canada€would€likely€have€similar€emissions€per€person€as€those€U.S.€border€states.€€It€wasÐ ¸ø Ðsuggested€that€most€of€Canadian€industrial€output€is€exported,€therefore€such€a€method€would€likelyÐ ¤ä Ðunderestimate€those€industrial€sector€emissions.€€It€was€suggested€that€some€other€surrogates€(ie/€landÐ Ð Ðuse,€employment,€etc.)€could€be€derived€to€somehow€estimate€a€rough€estimate€of€the€border€emissions.€Ð |¼ ÐThe€Emission€Forum€decided€to€wait€until€June€1òòstóó€to€see€if€the€EPA€talks€come€together,€otherwise€anÐ h¨ ÐÔ_ÔEFÔ_Ô€conference€call€would€likely€be€needed€to€refine€the€alternatives.Ð T ” ÐÌÔ& ° Ôà@" " ìàðHð€'96€EI€Issues:€€Other€Stationary€Source€Data€ðHðˆÐ ,"l! ÐÌPES€was€having€some€trouble€obtaining€final€emission€data€from€Arizona€and€Utah,€but€it€was€reportedÐ $D # Ðthat€all€necessary€data€from€these€two€states€is€now€in€place.Ô'°,"TÔÐ ð$0!$ ÐÌÌà@€ € ìàðHð€'96€EI€Issues:€€2òòndóó€Tier€Great€Plains€States€ðHðˆÐ ´'ô#' ÐÌRecent€talks€have€focused€on€a€2òòndóó€tier€of€Great€Plains€states€which€might€have€some€impact€on€theÐ Œ)Ì%) ÐWRAP€region€(primarily€North€&€South€Dakota).€€This€Minnesota€through€Louisiana€tier€consists€ofÐ x*¸&* Ðfive€states:€€Minnesota,€Iowa,€Missouri,€Arkansas€and€Louisiana.€€PES€has€indicated€that€compiling€theÐ d+¤'+ Ð'96€WRAP€Base€Year€Inventory€was€costing€about€$3K€per€state,€thus€adding€this€"MN€to€LA"€strip€toÐ P,(, Ðour€inventory€effort€under€similar€compilation€guidelines€would€add€about€$15,000€to€the€PES€contract.Ð <-|)- ÐÐ (.h*. ÐDiscussion€noted€that€technically,€from€a€modeling€standpoint,€these€emissions€should€not€be€veryÐ À Ðsignificant€to€most€of€the€WRAP€states;€certainly€not€for€the€ðð309€demonstration.€€It€was€felt€that€thisÐ ¬ì Ðissue€is€more€politically€based,€with€the€WRAP€having€committed€to€providing€Regional€Haze€RuleÐ ˜Ø Ð(RHR)€evaluation€tools€to€all€members€of€the€WRAP.Ð „Ä ÐÌIt€was€suggested€that€because€of€the€distance,€we€could€probably€just€use€the€'96€NET,€and€try€to€getÐ \œ ÐÔ_ÔMCNCÔ_Ô€to€roll€it€in€to€the€modeling€effort.€€There€was€some€thought€that€we€might€have€to€get€PES€toÐ H ˆ Ðincorporate€these€'96€NET€files€into€the€feed€inventory.€€Brock€Ô_ÔLeBaronÔ_Ô€agreed€talk€with€MarkÐ 4 t ÐHouxyoux€about€ideas€for€filling€this€gap,€while€Mike€George€would€talk€to€Mark€Saeger€about€howÐ  ` Ðdifficult€it€would€be€to€add€this€'96€NET.Ð  L  ÐÌà@a a ìàðHð€'96€EI€Issues:€€Mexico€Emission€Inventory€ðHðˆÐ ä $  ÐÌThe€Eastern€Research€Group€(ERG€Project€Manager;€Paula€Fields)€is€working€under€a€subcontract€forÐ ¼ü  ÐPES€to€develop€the€northwest€Mexico€emission€inventory.€€Currently€ERG€has€worked€for€emissionÐ ¨è  Ðinventories€in€only€the€three€northwest€Mexico€states€of€Baja€California€Norte,€Sonora€and€Chihuahua,Ð ”Ô  Ðbut€area€sources€in€these€EI's€were€mostly€extrapolated€from€urban€area€emissions€compiled€for€threeÐ €À Ðborder€towns:€Ciudad€Ô_ÔJurezÔ_Ô,€Mexicali,€and€Tijuana€(some€limited€information€is€also€available€fromÐ l¬ ÐNogales).€€The€major€point€sources€of€Nacozari€(ð ð14,000€TPY€SOòò2óó)€and€Cananea€(ð ð150,000€TPY€SOòò2€óó)Ð X˜ Ðcopper€smeltersòòóó€(Cananea€present€in€1996,€but€shut€down€in€1999)€located€near€the€Arizona„SonoraÐ D„ Ðborder,€and€the€large€Carbon€I€and€II€coal„fired€power€units€(ð ð3,000€MW€total€Ô_ÔunscrubbedÔ_Ô,€emitting€overÐ 0p Ð100,000€TPY€SOòò2óó)€located€in€the€state€of€Coahuila€De€Zaragoza,€were€identified€in€the€Grand€CanyonÐ \ Ðwork,€and€were€included€in€ERG's€inventory.€€Fifteen€other€point€sources€in€Chihuahua€and€CoahuilaÐ H Ðwere€identified€from€other€inventories,€but€data€was€available€for€SOòò2óó€only.€€Smaller€point€source€mayÐ ô4 Ðhave€been€included€in€the€three€urban€inventories.Ð à  ÐÌMike€George€has€noted€that€there€are€some€studies€indicating€impact€on€Arizona€and€New€Mexico€ClassÐ ¸ø ÐI€areas€from€Mexican€states€further€east,€including€Coahuila,€Nuevo€Leon€and€Tamaulipas.€€Other€statesÐ ¤ä Ðthat€might€come€into€play€could€include€Baja€California€Sur,€Sinaloa,€Durango€and€Ô_ÔZacatecasÔ_Ô.€€However,Ð Ð Ðthis€date€the€Emission€Forum€considered€the€question€of€adding€other€Mexican€states€to€the€1996Ð |¼ Ðinventory,€and€concluded€that€there€is€not€enough€time€or€WRAP€resources€to€add€any€further€work€toÐ h¨ Ðthe€ERG€contract.€€Given€the€distance€from€most€of€the€ðð309€region,€and€the€fact€that€there€are€other€EIÐ T ” Ðefforts€on„going€for€Mexico€which€could€lead€to€better€data€by€the€time€ðð308€SIP's€are€due,€it€wasÐ @!€  Ðdecided€that€we€would€have€to€make€do€with€the€information€currently€gathered€by€ERG.Ð ,"l! ÐÌERG€has€completed€a€February€5òòthóó€Draft€of€a€report€on€their€Mexico€inventory€efforts.€€That€reportÐ $D # Ðindicates€that€they€focused€on€the€same€list€of€pollutants€compiled€by€the€WRAP€(SOòò2óó,€NOòòxóó,€PMòò2.5óó,Ð ð$0!$ ÐPMòò10óó,€NHòò3óó€&€VOC€{speciated€OC,€Ô_ÔECÔ_Ô}),€but€that€there€were€some€problems€in€getting€compatible€dataÐ Ü%"% Ðfor€some€of€these€pollutants.€€For€example,€they€obtained€a€generic€hydrocarbon,€rather€than€VOCÐ È&#& Ðbecause€of€inconsistent€Mexican€reporting€of€Ô_ÔROGÔ_Ô,€TOG€and€Ô_ÔHCÔ_Ô.€€The€report€also€notes€that€someÐ ´'ô#' Ðassumptions€had€to€be€made€regarding€conversions€of€TSP€to€PMòò10óó€and€PMòò2.5óó.€€The€report€also€indicatedÐ  (à$( Ðthat€failed€to€extrapolate€emissions€to€the€entire€Mexican€state€for€a€number€of€area€source€categoriesÐ Œ)Ì%) Ð(wind€erosion,€biogenics,€wildfire,€railroads,€aircraft,€cattle€feedlots,€brick€manufacturing,€bus€terminals,Ð x*¸&* Ðsurface€coating€operations,€etc.),€because€they€did€not€have€enough€data€to€accurately€define€thatÐ d+¤'+ Ðextrapolation.Ð P,(, Ðâ âÐ <-|)- ÐRecently,€ERG€asked€the€WRAP€for€permission€to€share€this€report€with€other€Mexican€EI€researchers,Ð À Ðâ âbut€we€delayed€response€pending€an€initial€review€by€the€Emission€Forum.€€There€were€some€questions,Ð ¬ì Ðand€members€really€didn't€have€time€to€digest€the€report€on€this€first€exposure.€€Still€the€forum€decided€toÐ ˜Ø Ðaccept€the€report€as€the€best€we€have€available,€and€give€permission€to€ERG€to€share€this€as€a€òòò òDRAFTó óóóÐ „Ä ÐReport,€outside€the€WRAP.Ð p° ÐÌÌà@YY ìàðHð€2018€Projections€ðHðˆÐ 4 t ÐÌòòòò2018€Base€Case€Ô_ÔRFPÔ_ÔóóóóÐ  L  ÐÌThis€Ô_ÔRFPÔ_Ô€asks€contractors€to€obtain€ò òòòEconomic€and€Population€Growth€Factorsóóó ó€to€utilize€in€projectingÐ ä $  Ðthe€1996€base€year€inventory€forward€to€2018.€€This€Economics/Population€Ô_ÔRFPÔ_Ô€was€published€AprilÐ Ð  Ð27òòthóó,€and€a€bidder€conference€call€was€held€May€8òòthóó,€with€four€contractor€participating.€€Bids€are€to€be€inÐ ¼ü  ÐMay€29òòthóó,€with€a€contract€issuance€targeted€for€early€June,€2001.Ð ¨è  ÐÌòòòò2018€Control€Case€Ô_ÔRFPÔ_ÔóóóóÐ €À ÐÌThe€second€project€will€compile€the€necessary€data€and€complete€the€òòò ò2018€Emission€Projectionsó óóó€for€twoÐ X˜ Ðscenarios:€the€2018€Base€Case€and€the€2018€Control€Case.€€The€Ô_ÔRFPÔ_Ô€tasks€will€include:€1)€identifyingÐ D„ Ðexisting€major€point€sources€in€WRAP€states€that€were€not€originally€part€of€the€GCVTC€"transportÐ 0p Ðregion"€(WA,€MT,€ND€&€SD),€with€start€up€date€and€existing€pollution€control€levels€for€those€sources;Ð \ Ð2)€developing€a€"new€source€profile"€for€pollution€control€equipment/efficiency€in€various€sourceÐ H Ðcategories;€3)€developing€retirement€factors€for€source€categories€in€the€thirteen€state€WRAP€RegionÐ ô4 Ð(AZ,€CA,€CO,€ID,€€MT,€ND,€NM,€NV,€OR,€SD,€UT,€WA€&€WY);€4)€defining€existing€national,€state,Ð à  Ðlocal€&€tribal€air€quality€regulations€that€will€be€implemented€through€2018€to€control€emissions€fromÐ Ì  Ðexisting€area€and€point€sources;€5)€identifying€additional€retrofit€control€options,€costs€and€efficienciesÐ ¸ø Ðfor€existing€area€and€point€sources;€6)€combining€the€economic€and€population€growth€information€fromÐ ¤ä Ðthe€first€contract€into€òòemission€growth€factorsóó€that€will€be€used€in€the€Integrated€Assessment€SystemÐ Ð Ð(IAS)€model€to€project€2018€emissions;€and€7)€running€the€IAS€model€with€the€growth,€retirement€andÐ |¼ Ðcontrol€information€to€obtain€the€two€2018€emission€inventory€projections€(base€&€control€cases).€Ð h¨ ÐOptions€were€requested€for€the€cost€to€include€the€1òòstóó€tier€of€adjacent€Great€Plains€States€(NB,€KA,€OK€&Ð T ” ÐTX),€and€separately€to€include€the€2òòndóó€tier€of€Great€Plains€States€(MN,€IA,€MO,€AK€&€LA)€in€the€aboveÐ @!€  Ðtasks.Ð ,"l! ÐÌThis€Control€Case€Ô_ÔRFPÔ_Ô€was€published€May€7òòthóó,€with€a€contract€issuance€targeted€for€late€June,€2001.Ð $D # ÐÌDuring€this€meeting,€the€issue€of€retirements€differences€between€utilities€and€the€"other"€sourceÐ Ü%"% Ðcategories€were€discussed.€€The€fact€that€a€certain€percentage€of€"other"€industries€are€expected€to€retireÐ È&#& Ðand€be€replaced€with€new,€cleaner€technology,€rather€than€go€through€a€full€life€span€before€beingÐ ´'ô#' Ðreplaced,€results€in€an€overestimation€of€control€and€an€under„prediction€of€emissions.€€In€the€Ô_ÔRFPÔ_Ô,€weÐ  (à$( Ðare€asking€the€bidders€to€reassess€the€retirement€rates€of€each€source€categories,€and€obtain€theirÐ Œ)Ì%) Ðconstruction€or€start„up€dates.€€The€difficulty€of€getting€data€to€support€a€specific€retirement€for€the€otherÐ x*¸&* Ðsource€categories,€was€pondered.€€Carrie€Ô_ÔMacDougallÔ_Ô€suggested€looking€first€at€the€biggest€quantitativeÐ d+¤'+ Ðemission€sources,€and€then€make€projections€for€those€categories.€€It€was€pointed€out€however,€that€eachÐ P,(, Ðpollutant€will€likely€have€a€different€suite€of€generation€sources,€which€would€complicate€the€approach.Ð <-|)- ÐÐ (.h*. Ðà@oo ìàðHð€Other€Pollutants€ðHðˆÐ À ÐÌRegarding€future€SOòò2óó€emission€control,€the€2018€projections€will€be€relying€on€the€Market€TradingÐ ˜Ø ÐProgram€backstop€milestones€for€the€control€case€emission€inventory,€Regarding€NOòòxóó€and€PM€however,Ð „Ä Ðthe€emission€projection€Ô_ÔRFPÔ_Ô€asks€the€contractor€to€define€what€additional€controls€may€be€feasible€andÐ p° Ðcost€effective.€€The€Ô_ÔMTFÔ_Ô€will€likely€be€initiating€discussions€on€development€of€a€trading€program€forÐ \œ Ðthese€other€pollutants,€and€our€future€year€inventory€will€have€to€be€reconciled€back€with€any€programÐ H ˆ Ðthe€Ô_ÔMTFÔ_Ô€generates.Ð 4 t ÐÌà@VV!ìàðHð€Emission€Survey€ðHðˆÐ  L  ÐÌPechan€Associates€in€Durham,€North€Carolina€received€a€$22,000€contract€from€the€Ô_ÔEFÔ_Ô€in€SeptemberÐ ä $  Ð'00,€to€conduct€a€survey€of€non„tribal€air€quality€agencies€to€determine€the€state€of€preparation€andÐ Ð  Ðavailability€of€EI€data€from€these€WRAP€region€agencies.€€The€WRAP€regional€emission€inventoryÐ ¼ü  Ðdatabase€will€contain€emissions€data€supplied€from€these€state,€local€and€tribal€air€quality€agencies,€andÐ ¨è  Ðthe€survey€was€set€up€to€evaluate€what€gaps€the€WRAP€might€face€in€reliance€on€this€state/local/tribalÐ ”Ô  Ðdata.Ð €À ÐÌPechan€provided€a€report€of€the€results€of€that€survey€at€the€Emission€Forum€Las€Vegas€meeting€inÐ X˜ ÐFebruary.€€The€report€is€currently€available€on€the€WRAP€website,€on€the€ò òEmission€Forumó ó€page€of€theÐ D„ Ðò ò"Committees€and€Forums"ó ó€section€of€the€site.Ð 4t ÐÌThe€Ô_ÔEFÔ_Ô€had€identified€contacts€at€all€13€WRAP€region€state€Air€Quality€organizations,€and€also€inÐ P Ðselected€County€Air€Quality€agencies€(California's€35€local€districts,€Clark€(Las€Vegas)and€Ô_ÔWashoeÔ_ÔÐ ü< Ð(Reno)€counties€in€Nevada,€and€Bernallio€county€(Albuquerque)€in€New€Mexico.€€In€addition,€althoughÐ è( ÐEI's€were€compiled€at€the€state€level€in€Arizona€and€Oregon,€their€Ô_ÔEFÔ_Ô€representatives€wanted€to€involveÐ Ô Ðsome€of€their€County€Districts.€€Only€the€State€of€New€Mexico€and€Clark€County€around€Las€Vegas,Ð À ÐNevada€did€not€respond.Ð ¬ì ÐÌPechan's€general€conclusions€were:Ð „Ä ÐÌ„€state€agencies€have€greater€EI€capabilities€than€do€local€agenciesÐ \ œ Є€better€funding€&€staff€levels€are€the€likely€reason€for€this€state€advantageÐ H!ˆ  Є€point€&€area€EI's€are€more€comprehensive,€than€for€mobile€&€biogenic€sectorsÐ 4"t! Є€lack€of€training€in€mobile€&€biogenic€estimation€techniques€limits€this€dataÐ  #`" ÐÌThe€report€went€on€to€attempt€to€answer€a€number€of€questions€that€the€Ô_ÔEFÔ_Ô€had€developed€in€designingÐ ø$8!$ Ðthe€survey.€€Pechan€found€that€about€half€of€the€point€source€inventories€are€compiled€statewide,€while€aÐ ä%$"% Ðsuccessively€smaller€portion€of€area,€mobile€and€biogenic€inventories€represent€the€entire€state.€€ThereÐ Ð&#& Ðwas€a€lack€of€uniform€and€up„to„date€emission€factors,€particularly€for€PMòò2.5óó€and€its€precursors.€Ð ¼'ü#' ÐVariability€was€found€in€the€inventory€update€cycles,€the€currency€of€the€latest€baseline€inventory,€andÐ ¨(è$( Ðfor€the€emission€projection€models€used.€€For€those€agencies€that€compiled€the€data,€point€sourceÐ ”)Ô%) Ðinventories€were€generally€compiled€annually,€while€the€other€sectors€were€most€often€compiled€everyÐ €*À&* Ðthree€years.€€Again,€for€those€agencies€that€had€an€inventory,€the€most€common€base€year€was€1996.€Ð l+¬'+ ÐMOBILE€5/6€and€Ô_ÔNONROADÔ_Ô€were€the€most€universal€emission€projection€models€used.€€The€pollutantsÐ X,˜(, Ðâ âcovered€by€the€point,€area,€mobile,€biogenic€and€geogenic€inventories€varied€significantly,€as€did€theÐ D-„)- Ðmethodology€for€calculating€the€inventories,€the€activity€data€and€spatial€surrogates€used,€and€the€spatialÐ À Ðand€temporal€resolution€of€the€data.Ð ¬ì Ðâ âÌDiscussion€this€date€centered€on€how€best€to€utilize€this€survey€information.€€In€an€E„Mail,€SallyÐ „Ä ÐOtterson€noted€that€Idaho,€Oregon€and€Washington€had€used€the€survey€in€targeting€sources€in€theirÐ p° ÐNorthwest€Regional€Technical€Center€105€project,€and€that€Oregon€and€Washington€are€using€the€surveyÐ \œ Ðto€help€craft€the€Columbia€River€George€National€Scenic€Area€study€plan.€€Numerous€suggestions€wereÐ H ˆ Ðmade€that€the€survey€should€be€shared€with€Ô_ÔMCNCÔ_Ô€working€on€the€Jump€Start€project,€the€RegionalÐ 4 t ÐModeling€Center€and€WESTAR.Ð  ` ÐÌWherever€the€final€WRAP€regional€database€finally€resides,€that€caretaker€will€use€this€survey€in€theÐ ø 8  Ðdesign€of€the€final€WRAP€EI€system.Ð ä $  ÐÌà@µµìàðHð€IAS€Re„Engineering€€ðHðˆÐ ¼ü  ÐÌThe€Integrated€Assessment€System€(IAS)€model€has€three€basic€pieces:€1)€base€year€data,€2)€controlÐ ”Ô  Ðactions€of€how€base€year€data€changes€over€time€&€3)€sector€demand€data€to€show€growth.€€The€Ô_ÔEFÔ_ÔÐ €À Ðissued€a€contract€to€Shawn€Kendall€to€re„engineer€this€model€aided€by€the€Arizona€DEQ's€technical€helpÐ l¬ Ðfrom€their€software€expert€Dr.€Samir€Ô_ÔBadriÔ_Ô.€€The€"new"€IAS€will€have€an€ACCESS€based€databaseÐ X˜ Ðsystem,€with€a€front„end€consisting€of€"forms"€and€"reports".€€The€system€will€have€the€capability€toÐ D„ Ðpredict€a€future€year€emission€inventory€using€economic€and€population€based€emission€growth€factors.€Ð 0p ÐThe€model€will€also€be€able€to€produce€a€visibility€forecast€scenario,€and€cost€information€in€units€ofÐ \ Ð$/ton,€$/Ô_ÔððgÔ_Ô€and€$/ððòòextóó.€€Mr.€Kendall€will€produce€a€technical€design€reference€manual/user€guide€for€useÐ H Ðby€subsequent€operators€of€the€system.€€The€system€will€be€"web€enabled",€so€it€can€be€downloaded€forÐ ô4 Ðgeneral€use.€€According€to€Mike€George's€report€at€this€meeting,€the€target€date€for€completion€of€thisÐ à  Ðproject€is€currently€the€end€of€May,€2001.Ð Ì  ÐÌà@x x ìàðHð€Database€Development/EI€Protocol€ðHðˆÐ ¤ä ÐÌThe€Emission€Forum€has€been€discussing€the€eventual€development€for€a€WRAP€Regional€Database€toÐ |¼ Ðhouse€the€EI€information€compiled€for€RHR€implementation.€€This€date€Ô_ÔEFÔ_Ô€members€discussed€theÐ h¨ Ðpossible€uses€of€such€a€database,€including:€Ð T ” ÐÌÓ °ÜŒ „áÓ„à ° àtracking€Ô_ÔMTFÔ_Ô€milestones€(SOòò2óó€only,€every€year)Ð ,"l! Єà ° àtracking€Clean€Air€Corridors€(SOòò2óó€only,€every€year)Ð #X" Єà ° àtracking€fire€program€emissionsÐ $D # Єà ° àproviding€for€future€visibility€modelingÐ ð$0!$ Єà ° àtracking€the€mobile€source€emissions€budgetÐ Ü%"% Єà ° àprovide€for€public€information€(GIS€components)Ð È&#& Єà ° àQA€functionsÐ ´'ô#' ÐÌThe€forum€attempted€to€envision€when€it€would€be€necessary€to€have€this€database€system€operational.€Ð Œ)Ì%) ÐThere€was€some€sense€that€the€database€was€a€ðð308€issue,€but€with€the€milestone/CAC€trackingÐ x*¸&* Ðfunctions,€it€also€becomes€critical€for€states€to€implement€their€ðð309€SIP's.€€Therefore,€it€appears€that€theÐ d+¤'+ Ðdatabase€would€be€required€by€the€end€of€2003.€€With€approximately€24€months€lead€time€required€toÐ P,(, Ðdevelop€the€system,€it€appears€that€the€Emission€Forum€must€act€on€this€project€by€the€end€of€this€2001Ð <-|)- Ðcalendar€year.Ð (.h*. ЇIt€was€pointed€out€that€there€are€more€commercial€products€being€developed€to€handle€EmissionÐ À ÐInventory€duties,€such€as€Ô_ÔISTEPSÔ_Ô,€and€the€Forum€would€be€well€advised€to€investigate€some€of€theseÐ ¬ì Ð"off€the€shelf"€products,€along€with€any€custom€development€efforts.€Ð ˜Ø ÐÌMike€George€had€prepared€an€April€18òòthóó€summary€of€previous€discussions€on€the€WRAP€Regional€EIÐ p° ÐDatabase,€and€Lee€Gribovicz€committed€to€sending€out€this€summary€to€Ô_ÔEFÔ_Ô€members,€for€considerationÐ \œ Ðat€the€next€Ô_ÔEFÔ_Ô€meeting.Ð H ˆ ÐÌThe€discussion€then€turned€to€the€issue€of€preparation€of€the€emission€inventories€themselves,€and€someÐ  ` Ðmembers€felt€that€this€matter€must€be€dealt€with€before€we€tackle€the€problem€of€where€the€inventoriesÐ  L  Ðeventually€reside.€€There€was€a€sense€that€we€should€address€how€these€EI's€will€be€calculated€(manual),Ð ø 8  Ðand€then€decide€how€you'll€manage€the€information€(database).Ð ä $  ÐÌThere€was€concern€over€EI€consistency€issues;€where€EI€preparation€methods€vary€significantly€betweenÐ ¼ü  Ðpolitical€jurisdictions.€€The€idea€was€advanced€that€we€may€need€to€obtain€activity€data€fromÐ ¨è  Ðstate/local/tribal€agencies,€rather€than€the€emissions€themselves,€so€that€these€calculation€discrepanciesÐ ”Ô  Ðcould€be€minimized.€€However,€it€was€pointed€out€that€such€a€procedure€would€increase€the€cost€of€theÐ €À ÐWRAP€EI€effort€significantly,€because€you€then€have€to€provide€a€means€to€generate€the€emissions€fromÐ l¬ Ðcalculations.€€It€was€also€pointed€out€that€we€don't€really€have€the€consistency€issue€for€such€emissionÐ X˜ Ðsources€as€biogenics€or€mobile€sources,€where€the€same€models€were€relatively€universally€applied€to€getÐ D„ Ðemission€information€(ie/€BEIS€&€MOBILE€6).€€A€suggestion€was€made€that€maybe€the€WRAP€could€getÐ 0p Ðthe€activity€data€only€for€"problematic"€emissions€sources,€such€as€for€the€currently€debated€issuesÐ \ Ðsurrounding€paved€and€unpaved€road€fugitive€dust.Ð H ÐÌThe€question€was€also€raised€as€to€how€the€WRAP€was€going€to€encourage€state/€local/tribal€jurisdictionsÐ à  Ðto€produce€a€relatively€consistent€emission€inventory.€€The€suggestion€was€made€before€that€the€WRAPÐ Ì  Ðcould€produce€some€sort€of€"guideline€manual€for€EI€development",€and€hold€workshops€to€introduceÐ ¸ø Ðand€reinforce€proper€methodology€for€the€agencies'€EI€personnel.Ð ¤ä ÐÌThe€point€was€made€that€the€WRAP€EI€development€model,€where€states€and€tribes€send€in€data€to€theÐ |¼ ÐRegional€database,€was€very€similar€to€EPA's€national€model€for€the€National€Emission€Inventory€(Ô_ÔNEIÔ_Ô).€Ð h¨ ÐRoy€Doyle€made€the€point€that€once€the€data€is€submitted,€that€it€becomes€federal€data,€and€the€state€noÐ T ” Ðlonger€has€the€"label"€warranting€that€the€information€is€accurate.Ð @!€  ÐÌTo€further€address€this€EI€Protocol€question,€a€Workgroup€was€created€consisting€of€Lee€Gribovicz,Ð #X" ÐDennis€Schwehr,€Roy€Doyle,€Brock€Ô_ÔLeBaronÔ_Ô,€Sally€Otterson€and€Carrie€Ô_ÔMacDougallÔ_Ô.€€It€was€suggestedÐ $D # Ðthat€the€workgroup€invite€participation€by€the€Mobile,€Fire€and€Modeling€Forums€in€attempting€to€reachÐ ð$0!$ Ðresolution€of€this€issue.Ð Ü%"% ÐÌà@ìàðHð€Future€Emission€Forum€Budget€ðHðˆÐ ´'ô#' ÐÌThe€three€major€òò"short€term"óó€products€from€the€Emission€Forum€are:Ð Œ)Ì%) ÐÌÓ „é°Ü°Óà  à„à é àthe€1996€Base€Year€WRAP€Region€Emission€InventoryÐ d+¤'+ Ðà  à„à é àthe€2018€Base€Case€WRAP€Region€Emission€Inventory€ProjectionÐ P,(, Ðà  à„à é àthe€2018€Control€Case€WRAP€Region€Emission€Inventory€ProjectionsÐ <-|)- ÐÐ (.h*. ÐThe€three€major€òò"long€term"óó€issues€to€be€addressed€by€the€Emission€Forum€are:Ð À ÐÌà  à„à é àWRAP€Region€Emission€Inventory€Database€DevelopmentÐ ˜Ø Ðà  à„à é àWRAP€Region€Emission€Inventory€Preparation€GuidanceÐ „Ä Ðà  à„à é àWRAP€Region€Emission€Inventory€ImprovementsÐ p° ÐÌIt€appears€that€the€Emission€Forum€might€have€in€the€range€of€$400,000€funding€for€2001.€€It€wasÐ H ˆ Ðclarified€that€the€EPA€FY€'01€budget€runs€from€October,€2000€through€September€2001,€but€that€agencyÐ 4 t Ðtakes€from€about€October„April€to€decide€how€much€money€will€be€distributed€to€the€Ô_ÔRPOÔ_Ô's.€€TheÐ  ` ÐWRAP€then€looks€at€a€workplan€by€about€July€of€the€fiscal€year,€and€the€WRAP€Co„Chairs€typicallyÐ  L  Ðprepare€a€budget€for€their€forums€around€June„July€(meeting€currently€scheduled€for€July€16„18òòthóó€thisÐ ø 8  Ðyear).€€Then€the€WRAP€historically€receives€their€money€about€October,€2001€(about€a€one€year€delay).€Ð ä $  ÐÌThe€three€òò"short€term"óó€products€('96€base€year€inventory€&€'18€projections)€are€currently€funded€throughÐ ¼ü  Ðthe€Emission€Forum's€FY€1999€&€2000€budgets,€however€the€$130K€for€making€the€2018€projectionsÐ ¨è  Ðmay€be€insufficient€to€adequately€complete€the€tasks.€€There€was€$116.5K€allocated€for€databaseÐ ”Ô  Ðdevelopment,€but€with€the€cumulative€small€overruns€on€other€projects,€there€may€be€closer€to€$100KÐ €À Ðleft€in€the€account.€€Brainstorming€database€development€for€a€project€beginning€in€January€'02,€withÐ l¬ Ðwork€estimated€for€approximately€8„9€months,€the€forum€felt€that€this€project€could€be€completed€forÐ X˜ Ðaround€$80K.€€With€the€uncertainties€in€the€2018€projections,€the€forum€felt€that€perhaps€$70K€of€currentÐ D„ Ðmonies€should€be€left€to€address€those€contingencies.€€Thus€that€left€about€$30K€of€the€current€budgetÐ 0p Ðapplied€to€database€development,€leaving€about€$50K€required€from€the€FY€2001€budget.Ð \ ÐÌOther€database€issues€including€the€requirement€for€QA/peer€review€of€the€1996€emission€inventory€forÐ ô4 Ðabout€$20K.€€Funding€for€a€database€manager€and€home€was€perceived€as€an€issue€to€be€tackled€in€futureÐ à  Ðbudgets€after€2001.Ð Ì  ÐÌUnder€EI€Guidance,€the€forum€projected€about€$75K€for€producing€the€EI€protocols€and€developingÐ ¤ä Ð"fall„back"€methods€if€state/local/tribal€data€proved€insufficient.€€Training€of€EI€personnel€(inÐ Ð Ðconjunction€with€the€Ô_ÔRMCÔ_Ô)€was€projected€to€consume€about€$50K.€€There€was€a€"hidden"€cost€for€theÐ |¼ ÐWRAP€participant's€in„kind€work€on€this€project,€that€would€not€show€up€in€the€budget.Ð h¨ ÐÌThe€third€task€involved€EI€Improvements,€and€the€forum€projected€about€$125K€being€necessary€for€theÐ @!€  Ðfollow„up€to€the€"Dirt€Forum"€work.€€Another€$75K€could€be€spent€on€Ô_ÔspeciationÔ_Ô€and€temporal€profiles,Ð ,"l! Ðwhile€about€$10K€was€projected€for€literature€review€on€new€ammonia€emission€work.Ð #X" ÐÌThus€the€preliminary€2001€Emission€Forum€budget€would€look€something€like€this:Ð ð$0!$ ÐÌÓ°„áÓDatabase€Developmentà ä à$€70KÐ È&#& ÐEI€Guidanceà ä à$125KÐ ´'ô#' ÐòòEI€Improvement€€€€€€à ä à$210KóóÐ  (à$( ÐTotalà ä à$405KÐ Œ)Ì%) ÐÌDennis€Schwehr€will€provide€a€more€detailed€report€of€this€budget€proposal.Ð d+¤'+ ÐÌâ âÐ <-|)- ÐÔ& ° Ôâ âà@ÂÂìàðHð€Year€2000€Inventory€ðHðˆÐ À ÐÌRegarding€ðð309€RHR€implementation,€the€GCVTC€projected€that€Stationary€Source€SOòò2óó€emissions€fromÐ ˜Ø ÐÔ'°ÀM¾Ôthe€nine€transport€region€states,€would€decrease€by€13%€from€1990€levels€in€the€year€2000.€€It€is€theÐ „Ä ÐEmission€Forum€responsibility€to€compile€this€inventory€to€demonstrate€the€13%€reduction,€and€WayneÐ p° ÐLeipold€was€designated€the€focal€point,€for€this€compilation.Ð \œ ÐÌSome€clarification€was€required€from€the€Market€Trading€Forum€regarding€the€application€of€CEM€biasÐ 4 t Ðguidelinesš€to€this€13%€figure,€but€the€forum€decided€that€it€would€be€desirable€if€we€could€get€the€statesÐ  ` Ðto€"fast€track"€the€preparation€of€2000€SOòò2óó€emission€data€from€their€"major"€(>100tons)€stationaryÐ  L  Ðsources.€€An€alternative€might€be€to€go€directly€to€the€ðð€300€individual€sources,€but€it€was€pointed€outÐ ø 8  Ðthat€these€firms€generally€don't€like€giving€EI€information€to€multiple€recipients.€€Thus€the€states€wouldÐ ä $  Ðlikely€have€to€send€any€letters€requesting€information€from€individual€sources.Ð Ð  ÐÌIt€was€decided€that€Lee€Gribovicz€would€draft€a€letter€to€state€and€tribes€authorities€(State€Air€Directors,Ð ¨è  ÐBill€Grantham€@€Ô_ÔNTECÔ_Ô,€tribal€contacts€at€EPA€regions€6,€8€&€9),€requesting€priority€to€this€task.Ð ”Ô  ÐÌà@RRìàðHð€Emission€Forum€Membership€ðHðˆÐ l¬ ÐÌThe€WRAP€Bylaws€have€guidelines€for€the€composition€of€WRAP€forums,€and€earlier€in€the€year,€theÐ D„ ÐEmission€Forum€had€lost€some€members.€€With€Dennis€Schwehr's€new€participation,€we€regained€ourÐ 0p Ðutility€industry€contact,€and€when€Bill€Ô_ÔFishbackÔ_Ô€confirmed€that€he€was€participating,€we€have€aÐ \ Ðpetroleum€industry€representative.€€Wayne€Leipold's€copper€representation€gives€the€forum€a€solidÐ H Ðindustrial€base.€€Bobby€Ramirez€and€Paul€Ô_ÔMountcastleÔ_Ô€provide€tribal€representation,€and€the€addition€ofÐ ô4 ÐCarrie€Ô_ÔMacDougallÔ_Ô€gives€the€Emission€Forum€a€local€government€representative.€€State€representation€isÐ à  Ðprovided€by€Lee€Gribovicz,€Sally€Otterson€and€Brock€Ô_ÔLeBaronÔ_Ô,€while€Doug€Ô_ÔLatimerÔ_Ô€and€Bill€KuykendalÐ Ì  Ðprovide€EPA€representation.€€Aaron€Ô_ÔWorstellÔ_Ô's€substitution€for€Don€Shepard€of€the€Park€ServiceÐ ¸ø Ðcompletes€the€FLM€representation,€but€the€forum€still€needs€an€academic€and€an€environmentalÐ ¤ä Ðrepresentative.Ð Ð ÐÌNew€representatives€Carrie€Ô_ÔMacDougallÔ_Ô€and€Aaron€Ô_ÔWorstellÔ_Ô€were€requested€to€contact€the€WRAPÐ h¨ Ðwebmaster€to€update€the€Emission€Forum€web€page€with€current€membership€information.Ð T ” ÐÌIdeas€are€solicited€for€the€remaining€forum€opening,€and€Lee€Gribovicz€suggested€that€he€wouldÐ ,"l! Ðapproach€a€University€of€Wyoming€professor€for€the€academic€post.€€It€was€suggested€to€approach€JohnÐ #X" ÐNeilson€for€possible€names€of€an€environmental€representative.Ð $D # ÐÌà@÷÷"ìàðHð€Action€Items€ðHðˆÐ Ü%"% ÐÌThe€list€of€Emission€Forum€action€items€included:Ð ´'ô#' ÐÌӰܰӄà0 ° àMike€George€will€contact€Mark€Saeger€to€distribute€the€1996€EI€to€states€for€review.€€FinalÐ Œ)Ì%) Ðcomments€are€to€be€returned€by€June€8òòthóó.Ðx*¸&*°T$°T$ ÐÌ„à0 ° àBrock€Ô_ÔLeBaronÔ_Ô€will€communicate€the€status€of€the€forum's€EI€preparation€efforts€to€the€Jump€StartÐ P,(, Ðcontractor€and€the€Ô_ÔRMCÔ_Ô€to€help€coordinate€their€activities.Ð<-|)-°T$°T$ ÐÐ (.h*. Єà0 ° àEmission€Forum€Co„Chairs€need€to€be€on€the€Modeling€Forum€E„Mail€listings€for€Jump€Start€&Ð À ÐÔ_ÔRMCÔ_Ô€activities.€€Brock€Ô_ÔLeBaronÔ_Ô€will€provide€the€contact€information.Ьì°T$°T$ ÐÌ„à0 ° àCarrie€Ô_ÔMacDougallÔ_Ô€will€be€added€to€the€list€of€Emission€Forum€Members€participating€in€the€WRAPÐ „Ä Ð"Dirt€Forum"Ðp°°T$°T$ ÐÌ„à0 ° àTOC€Co„Chair€Mike€George€and€TOC€Ô_ÔEFÔ_Ô€Liaison€Wayne€Liepold€will€communicate€the€need€toÐ H ˆ Ðexpedite€the€"Dirt€Forum"€activities€to€assure€resolution€by€the€July€deadline€for€completion€of€theÐ 4 t Ð'96€Base€Year€Emission€Inventory.Ð `°T$°T$ ÐÌ„à0 ° àLee€Gribovicz€will€contact€Greg€Stella€on€the€status€of€EPA's€negotiations€for€Canadian€EI€data.Ðø 8 °T$°T$ ÐÌ„à0 ° àBrock€Ô_ÔLeBaronÔ_Ô€will€communicate€with€Mark€Houxyoux€at€Ô_ÔMCNCÔ_Ô€to€determine€a€"fall€back"Ð Ð  Ðposition€if€Canadian€emission€data€is€not€forthcoming.мü °T$°T$ ÐÌ„à0 ° àBrock€Ô_ÔLeBaronÔ_Ô€will€communicate€with€Mark€Houxyoux€at€Ô_ÔMCNCÔ_Ô€to€determine€a€"fall€back"Ð ”Ô  Ðposition€on€emissions€from€the€Minnesota„Louisiana€2òòndóó€tier€of€Great€Plains€states.ЀÀ°T$°T$ ÐÌ„à0 ° àMike€George€will€communicate€with€Mark€Saeger€at€PES€to€determine€what€can€be€done€to€utilizeÐ X˜ Ðgeneric€NET€emissions€for€the€Minnesota„Louisiana€2òòndóó€tier€of€Great€Plains€states,€and€whether€thisÐ D„ Ðinformation€would€require€a€cost€adjustment€to€the€'96€EI€contract.Ð0p°T$°T$ ÐÌ„à0 ° àLee€Gribovicz€will€approve€release€of€the€ERG€Mexican€EI€report.ÐH°T$°T$ ÐÌ„à0 ° àLee€Gribovicz€will€provide€the€Pechan€Emission€Inventory€Preparation€Survey€to€Ô_ÔMCNCÔ_Ô,€the€Ô_ÔRMCÔ_ÔÐ à  Ðand€WESTAR.ÐÌ °T$°T$ ÐÌ„à0 ° àLee€Gribovicz€will€distribute€Mike€George's€database€paper€to€the€Emission€Forum€for€futureÐ ¤ä Ðconsideration.ÐаT$°T$ ÐÌ„à0 ° àAn€EI€Protocol€Workgroup€will€be€formed€consisting€Lee€Gribovicz,€Dennis€Schwehr,€Roy€Doyle,Ð h¨ ÐBrock€Ô_ÔLeBaronÔ_Ô,€Sally€Otterson€and€Carrie€Ô_ÔMacDougallÔ_Ô.€€Lee€Gribovicz€will€invite€participation€byÐ T ” Ðthe€Mobile,€Fire€and€Modeling€Forums€in€this€effort.Ð@!€ °T$°T$ ÐÌ„à0 ° àLee€Gribovicz€will€initiate€a€conference€call€on€the€tasks€of€this€EI€Protocol€Workgroup.Ð#X"°T$°T$ ÐÌ„à0 ° àDennis€Schwehr€will€write€up€the€Emission€Forum€budget€proposals.Ðð$0!$°T$°T$ ÐÌ„à0 ° àCo„Chairs€Lee€Gribovicz€&€Dennis€Schwehr€will€present€the€Ô_ÔEFÔ_Ô€budget€and€plans€at€the€nextÐ È&#& ÐTOC/Technical€Co„Chairs€meeting€(July€16„18òòthóó).д'ô#'°T$°T$ ÐÌ„à0 ° àLee€Gribovicz€will€consult€with€the€Ô_ÔMTFÔ_Ô€regarding€CEM€bias€on€the€Y2K€EI.ÐŒ)Ì%)°T$°T$ ÐÌ„à0 ° àLee€Gribovicz€will€draft€a€letter€to€state/tribal€representatives€regarding€year€2000€stationary€sourceÐ d+¤'+ ÐSOòò2óó€information.ÐP,(,°T$°T$ Ðâ âÐ <-|)- Єà0 ° àWayne€Leipold€will€be€the€focal€point€for€compiling€Y2K€stationary€source€SOòò2óó€information,€andÐ À Ðâ âwill€provide€the€current€major€SOòò2óó€stationary€source€list€to€the€Ô_ÔEFÔ_Ô€Co„Chairs.Ьì°T$°T$ ÐÌ„à0 ° àWayne€Leipold€&€Bill€Ô_ÔFishbackÔ_Ô€will€attempt€to€research€retirement€factors€for€their€respectiveÐ „Ä Ðindustry€(copper€smelters€&€petroleum€refineries),€and€provide€resultant€information€to€DennisÐ p° ÐSchwehr.Ð\œ°T$°T$ ÐÌà@ÔÔ"ìàðHð€Next€Meeting€ðHðˆÐ 4 t ÐÌNo€date€was€set€for€the€next€meeting,€but€timing€was€suggested€around€late€August€to€early€SeptemberÐ  L  Ðwhen€the€1996€Base€and€2018€Projection€Inventories€are€due.€€A€possible€location€is€the€RegionalÐ ø 8  ÐModeling€Center€@€Riverside,€California.