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Air Pollution Prevention Forum: Meetings & Calls

Summary of the WRAP Air Pollution Prevention Forum Meeting
February 19-20, 2002
Denver, Colorado
Download this summary in Word Format

The purpose of the meeting was to: review the modeling results of the energy efficiency and renewable energy recommendations of the Forum; decide on the format of the report to be delivered to the WRAP at the June 2002 meeting; decide on schedule in order to be able to deliver the report; discuss what actions will be needed by WRAP to implement the results; and to briefly discuss the demand reductions undertaken in the past year.

Next Steps

  1. Dave Nichols and Dave Von Hippel (Tellus) will separate the combined heat and power measures and provide a revised list of energy efficiency measures.  Tellus will provide revised avoided cost figures with transmission and distribution avoided costs.   The Forum's Quantitative Work Group will decide on final list of energy efficiency (EE) measures to be used during the week of March 4.
     
  2. Tellus will provide final list of EE measures to ICF for modeling.  ICF will conduct required model runs.
     
  3. Schedule for Final Report
     
    1. Week of March 4 ­ Draft outline of report (D. Nichols, J.Burks, John Nielsen, D. Larson)
    2. Week of 3/18 ICF prepares next version of baseline analysis; rerun EE measures without CHP and with potential deletion of highest cost EE measures
    3. April 1, first draft of report (without REMI results)
    4. April 15, Comments on report
    5. April 18, REMI results
    6. May 10, second draft of report
    7. May 21, possible AP2 meeting (in conjunction with SIP workshop)
    8. June 1, final report
    9. June 18-19, WRAP meeting
       
  4. Final report will consist of the report and five reference documents: state renewable report, tribal renewable report, state energy efficiency report, tribal energy efficiency report, modeling report.
     
  5. Draft outline of Final Report
     
    1. Our charge
    2. Our work
    3. Our recommendations (including state policies and helpful regional policies)

                 i. enewables
                ii. ficiency
               iii. Tribal recommendations on RE and EE

    1. Impacts region-wide

                 i. Tribal impacts

    1. Demand reduction

Information Presented During the Discussion of the Model Results

Click on the following address for the ICF Powerpoint, the Tellus Powerpoint presentation, and the detailed energy efficiency workbooks by Tellus.  http://www.wrapair.org/forums/Ap2/Meetings/020219-21meet/020219-21meetdocs.htm

Following is a summary of issues raised during the modeling discussion on the first day and potential decisions that the Forum ultimately acted upon on the second day of the meeting.   

  • Barriers (e.g. interconnection requirements, system operation practices) are limiting the ability to reach an estimated potential of 16 GW of wind by 2018
     
  • There are few SO2 benefits from energy efficiency and renewable energy (EERE) because EERE will:
     
  • Replace gas-fired generation (not coal-fired generation)
  • The Annex SO2 cap and trade system will already limit SO2 emissions
     
  • However, EERE will provide Nox reduction benefits which may be useful in non-attainment SIPs as well as haze SIPs
     
  • The ability of renewables to make the estimated economic contribution depends on continued technological improvements that can be realized through near-term deployment of the technologies.
     
    • Incentives (e.g., PTC, property tax incentives, sales tax incentives) are needed to ensure continued deployment in the next ten years.
       
  • Renewables provide benefits to the electric system as a hedge against (1) spiking or unexpectedly high gas prices and (2) potential future limits on carbon emissions.
     
  • It is feasible to meet the 10/20 goals without major new inter-regional transmission lines.
     
  • If natural gas prices are high, renewables will meet the 10/20 goal without financial incentives (although barriers must be removed).
     
  • A backstop Renewable Portfolio Standard to meet the 10/20 goal will cost X amount.

    • Improvements needed for presentation of EE results

    • For analysts reading the report, there is a need to link modeling results to a summary table of assumptions and to the detailed workbook.
       
    • For the general audience, the report needs to include case studies or sidebars on the top 3-4 EE measures that describe how the assumptions were derived in layman's terms.
       
    • Need to consider EE without CHP to determine impacts on EE annual average cost (also CHP could increase NOx emissions).
       
    • Need to remove other high-cost EE measures from calculations.  (Note that such measures, such as envelope improvements, have benefits of reducing gas consumption)
       
    • Need to include justifiable transmission and distribution avoided costs.

    Demand Reduction

    Cynthia Praul (CEC) noted that "The Summer 2001 Conservation Report" would be released soon.  That report is now available at: http://www.energy.ca.gov/efficiency/2001_CONSERVATION_REPORT.PDF

    Data from the report shows that California's conservation program "contributed to a 6.7 percent reduction in overall electricity consumption in the state, and a 10 percent reduction during summer peak hours reaching a record reduction of 14 percent in June 2001."   Reasons for the reductions included: rate increases, flex your power public information, 20/20 rebate program, emergency building standards, efficiency improvements in state buildings, and other incentive to improve the efficiency of appliances, equipment, and buildings.  By the summer of 2002, California will have meters installed on all large commercial customers.  The report notes: "Although cool weather has been cited by some, June, August, and September were actually above normal temperatures, and  July was normal."  For example, there were 14 days in 2001 when the temperature in California's Central Valley was 100 degrees or higher compared to 10 days in 2000.

    Attendees

    Co-Chairs Jeff Burks (UT-DNR) and Hap Boyd (Enron Wind), John Nielsen (LAW Fund), Rich Ferguson (CEERT), Steve Roseberry (Wyoming DEQ), Bill Becker (DOE-Denver), Chris Wentz (New Mexico EMNRD), Stan Price (NW Energy Efficiency Council), Rachel Shimshak (Renewable Northwest Project), Virinder Singh (PacifiCorp), Bob Gruenig (NTEC), Brian Hedman (Quantec), Van Jamison (Montana small business), Cynthia Praul (California Energy Commission), Patrick Cummins (WGA), Bruce Polkowsky (National Park Service, ARD), Susan Johnson (NPS, ARD), Anna Garcia (GETF), Amanda Ormond (tribal consultant), Walter Short (NREL),  Judy Lubow (DOE-Denver), Dan Clark (Wyoming DEQ), Doug Latimer (EPA), Laura Vimmerstedt (NREL), Juanita Haydel (ICF Consulting),Bishal Thapa (ICF Consulting) Dave Nichols (Tellus Institute) Dave Von Hippel (Tellus Institute), Doug Larson (WIEB) Alison Wilson (WIEB).

     

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